Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Fenerbahçe to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64% · ✓ 4 goals
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites at 62%, with Slavia Praha on 17% and the draw on 21%. Fenerbahçe are 27th and Slavia Praha 30th in the Champions League. In their last three matches across all competitions, Fenerbahçe won two and Slavia Praha none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Fenerbahçe win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Slavia Praha win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 42%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Fenerbahçe and 1.1 from Slavia Praha. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58% | 22% | 20% | Stats preview | #278 | |
| 2 | 60% | 21% | 19% | Prices moved | #312 | |
| 3 | 62% | 21% | 17% | Prices moved | #324 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Fenerbahçe: last 6
WLWWDD · 15 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Aston Villa | 0–6 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Rizespor Süper Lig | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Eyüpspor Süper Lig | 8–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Gaziantep FK Süper Lig | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs AS Roma | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWDLW
Slavia Praha: last 3
DLL · 2 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Oct | at Sabah FA | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Lens | 2–3 | L |
Last 1 away: L
Season stats
| Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 2.50 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 and 2 games.
Champions League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | RB Leipzig | 3 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 30 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 31 | Slavia Praha | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 32 | Viking | 3 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 33 | Sabah FC | 0 | +0 | 0 | |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Fenerbahçe won 1, Slavia Praha 2, 0 draws; 4.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2024 | Slavia Praha | 1–2 | Fenerbahçe | UEFA Europa League |
| 24 Feb 2022 | Slavia Praha | 3–2 | Fenerbahçe | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| 17 Feb 2022 | Fenerbahçe | 2–3 | Slavia Praha | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutM. AsensioKnee
- OutM. MuldurKnee
- OutJ. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon
Show 3 more
- OutA. DioufOff the roster
- OutA. FallOff the roster
- OutM. YandasOff the roster
- OutS. ChaloupekMuscle
- OutT. ChoryCoach's decision
- OutD. JurasekThigh
Show 6 more
- OutI. OgbuAchilles Tendon
- OutA. OuandaInjury
- OutE. PitakHealth problems
- OutI. SchranzHealth problems
- OutH. KanteOff the roster
- OutO. KolarOff the roster
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Fenerbahçe 3Slavia Praha 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Fenerbahçe 3 · Slavia Praha 2
- Referee
- Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
