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‹ Champions League · Matchday 3
3–0
UK time (GMT)
Full time
Lens 21stLW

Club Brugge KV vs Lens prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Club Brugge KV to win: 51%, about 1 in 2

Club Brugge KV51%Bookies 51
Draw23%Bookies 23
Lens26%Bookies 26

Goals call3+ goals 72% · bookies 72% · ✓ 3 goals

✓ Favourite won (Club Brugge KV 51%) Ledger record ↗

In short

Club Brugge KV are favourites at 51%, with Lens on 26% and the draw on 23%. Club Brugge KV are 19th and Lens 21st in the Champions League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Club Brugge KV won five and Lens two.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Club Brugge KV win or draw
74%
Either team wins (no draw)
78%
Lens win or draw
49%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
72%
4+ goals
51%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
70%
No
30%

We expect about 2.2 goals from Club Brugge KV and 1.5 from Lens. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 3–1 (6%), 1–2 (6%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 48%23%29%Stats preview#415
2 51%22%26%Prices moved#452

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Club Brugge KV: last 6

WWWWWL · 17 scored, 8 conceded

17 Octvs Lokeren-Temse Cup1–0W
13 Octat Inter4–3W
10 Octat RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League4–1W
20 Sepvs Genk Jupiler Pro League3–0W
13 Sepvs Antwerp Jupiler Pro League3–1W
8 Sepvs Aston Villa2–3L

Last 5 at home: WWWLW

Lens: last 6

WLWLDW · 11 scored, 10 conceded

17 Octat Estac Troyes Ligue 13–1W
13 Octvs Sporting CP0–2L
9 Octvs Lyon Ligue 12–1W
18 Sepat Monaco Ligue 11–2L
13 Sepat Le Mans Ligue 12–2D
10 Sepat Slavia Praha3–2W

Last 5 away: WLDWL

Season stats

Club Brugge KVLens
3.00Goals scored per game1.50
3.00Goals conceded per game2.00
2.00Scored per game at home0.00
4.00Scored per game away3.00
100%Matches over 2.5 goals50%
100%Both teams scored50%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score50%

League matches only, 2 games each.

Champions League table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
8Barcelona3+56LWW
9Como3+56WLW
10Manchester City3+46WLW
11Club Brugge KV3+36WWL
12Sporting CP3+36LWW
13Borussia Dortmund3+16WLW
14Bayern München3+55DDW
…
23Galatasaray3-33WLL
24Lask Linz3-33WLL
25Feyenoord3-43LWL
26Lens3-43LLW
27Bodo/Glimt3-53LWL
28AEK Athens FC3-53LLW
29RB Leipzig3-53LWL

Full Champions League table · Predicted final table

Team news: injuries and suspensions

Club Brugge KV1
  • OutJ. OrdonezFoot
Lens6
  • OutI. GaniouKnee
  • OutJ. GraditMuscle
  • OutM. NawrockiKnee
Show 3 more
  • OutA. SimaMuscle
  • OutM. DiarraOff the roster
  • OutI. JourdrenOff the roster

From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).

Match context

Rest days
Club Brugge KV 4Lens 4
Matches in the last 14 days: Club Brugge KV 3 · Lens 3
Referee
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

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