AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
AS Roma to win: 88%, about 9 in 10
Goals call4+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✓ 4 goals
In short
AS Roma are clear favourites at 88%, with Slovan Bratislava on 4% and the draw on 8%. AS Roma are 25th and Slovan Bratislava 36th in the Champions League. In their last five matches across all competitions, AS Roma won two and Slovan Bratislava two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- AS Roma win or draw
- 96%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 91%
- Slovan Bratislava win or draw
- 12%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 91%
- 3+ goals
- 77%
- 4+ goals
- 58%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 47%
- No
- 53%
We expect about 3.4 goals from AS Roma and 0.7 from Slovan Bratislava. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 3–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–0 (10%), 4–0 (10%), 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
AS Roma: last 6
WLDDWD · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Genoa Serie A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Real Madrid | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Como Serie A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Inter Serie A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | at Torino Serie A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | at Fenerbahçe | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WLDWW
Slovan Bratislava: last 6
WLLWDW · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Spartak Trnava Super Liga | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Sep | at Paris Saint Germain | 1–6 | L |
| 26 Aug | at Celje | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Celje | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Aug | vs Mjallby AIF | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWWW
Season stats
| AS Roma | Slovan Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.38 |
| 2.50 | Goals conceded per game | 1.62 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 2 and 8 games.
Champions League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | +0 | 4 | WLD |
| … | |||||
| 33 | Sabah FC | 0 | +0 | 0 | |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutM. BahKnee
- OutP. DybalaCalf
- OutM. KoneMuscle
Show 1 more
- OutM. SvilarToe
- OutR. CerepkaiBack
- OutM. KukharevychInjury
- OutA. SporarIllness
Show 2 more
- OutA. GrigerOff the roster
- OutM. KiangaOff the roster
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- AS Roma 3Slovan Bratislava 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: AS Roma 3 · Slovan Bratislava 2
- Referee
- Sandro Schärer
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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