Racing Club vs Aldosivi prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Racing Club to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three converge on a Racing Club home win: the market's 60-23-16 aligns with their stronger squad and Aldosivi's poor travel record, even though Racing's own form is patchy. The sceptic's case that Racing's shaky home record may soften the favourite is noted, but the overall picture points home.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersRacing's edge is defensive: Aldosivi score just 0.67 away per game and fail to score in 43% of matches.
The numbers give Racing 1.8 expected goals to Aldosivi's 0.8. Racing keep clean sheets in 25% of matches and concede 1.19 per game, while Aldosivi concede 1.37 per game and fail to score in 43%.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo struggling mid-table sides, but Aldosivi's five straight away defeats tilt this firmly towards Racing.
Racing sit 10th on 36 points from 32 games; Aldosivi are 14th on 19 from 30, with three wins all season. Racing have lost four of their last six, while Aldosivi have lost four of six and arrive after five consecutive away defeats.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome prices look fair on form, but over 2.5 at 47% may be a touch high given Aldosivi's away profile.
Racing's winless run of four (D1 L3) sits awkwardly with a 60% published home chance.
Racing Club: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Racing Club are clear favourites at 60%, with Aldosivi on 16% and the draw on 24%. Racing Club are 10th and Aldosivi 14th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Racing Club won two and Aldosivi two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Racing Club win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Aldosivi win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Racing Club and 0.8 from Aldosivi. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 23% | 16% | Stats preview | #1898 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Racing Club: last 6
LDLWWL · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | at River Plate | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Independiente | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Belgrano Cordoba | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Oct | at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Sarmiento Junin | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Huracan | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: DLWLD
Aldosivi: last 6
WLLLWL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Belgrano Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Sarmiento Junin | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | at Huracan | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Atletico Tucuman | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Independ. Rivadavia | 3–4 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Racing Club | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Goals scored per game | 0.70 |
| 1.19 | Goals conceded per game | 1.37 |
| 1.07 | Scored per game at home | 0.73 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 47% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| 59% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 28% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 32 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 30 | +2 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 32 | -5 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 30 | -20 | 19 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 30 | -29 | 14 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Aldosivi
- 378 km
- Rest days
- Racing Club 5Aldosivi 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Racing Club 2 · Aldosivi 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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