Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Belgrano (Córdoba) are favourites at 53%, with Barracas Central on 19% and the draw on 28%. Belgrano (Córdoba) are 4th and Barracas Central 8th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Belgrano (Córdoba) won three and Barracas Central three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Belgrano (Córdoba) win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Barracas Central win or draw
- 47%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 62%
- 3+ goals
- 35%
- 4+ goals
- 16%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Belgrano (Córdoba) and 0.7 from Barracas Central. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 0–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53% | 28% | 19% | Stats preview | #2180 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Belgrano (Córdoba): last 6
LLWWWD · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Aldosivi | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs River Plate | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Racing Club | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Talleres Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Sarmiento Junin | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: LWDLW
Barracas Central: last 6
WDWWLD · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | at Sarmiento Junin | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Huracan | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Atletico Tucuman | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Independ. Rivadavia | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | at Banfield | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DWDDL
Season stats
| Belgrano (Córdoba) | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 0.93 |
| 0.79 | Goals conceded per game | 0.87 |
| 1.31 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.94 | Scored per game away | 0.87 |
| 32% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 47% |
| 47% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 37% |
League matches only, 34 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 33 | +17 | 62 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | River Plate | 34 | +18 | 59 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 34 | +11 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 30 | +2 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 32 | -5 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Barracas Central
- 650 km
- Rest days
- Belgrano (Córdoba) 7Barracas Central 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Belgrano (Córdoba) 2 · Barracas Central 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 24°C · wind 6 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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