Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Independiente Rivadavia to win: 67%, about 2 in 3
Goals call2 goals or fewer 50% · bookies 50%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Independiente Rivadavia are clear favourites at 67%, with Banfield on 12% and the draw on 21%. Independiente Rivadavia are 6th and Banfield 12th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Independiente Rivadavia won two and Banfield one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Independiente Rivadavia win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Banfield win or draw
- 33%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 43%
- No
- 57%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Independiente Rivadavia and 0.7 from Banfield. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67% | 21% | 12% | Stats preview | #2197 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Independiente Rivadavia: last 6
DLDWWL · 9 scored, 14 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Tigre | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Rosario Central | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | at Barracas Central | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Aldosivi | 4–3 | W |
| 6 Sep | at River Plate | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: DDWWD
Banfield: last 6
DLWDDD · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Lanus | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Argentinos JRS | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Tigre | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Rosario Central | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Gimnasia L.P. | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Barracas Central | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WDLLW
Season stats
| Independiente Rivadavia | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Goals scored per game | 1.07 |
| 1.27 | Goals conceded per game | 1.30 |
| 2.12 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 0.93 | Scored per game away | 0.93 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 23% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 30 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | River Plate | 34 | +18 | 59 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 34 | +11 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 30 | +2 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 32 | -5 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 30 | -20 | 19 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 30 | -29 | 14 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Banfield
- 986 km
- Rest days
- Independiente Rivadavia 16Banfield 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Independiente Rivadavia 0 · Banfield 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 13 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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