Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Argentinos Juniors to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 62% · bookies 62%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Argentinos Juniors are slight favourites at 41%, with Atletico Tucuman on 29% and the draw on 30%. Atletico Tucuman are 13th and Argentinos Juniors 2nd in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Atletico Tucuman won one and Argentinos Juniors two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Atletico Tucuman win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Argentinos Juniors win or draw
- 71%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 64%
- 3+ goals
- 38%
- 4+ goals
- 18%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 44%
- No
- 56%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Atletico Tucuman and 1.2 from Argentinos Juniors. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 0–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 30% | 41% | Stats preview | #2226 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Atletico Tucuman: last 6
WLDLLL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Tigre | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Rosario Central | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Gimnasia L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Barracas Central | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | at Aldosivi | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs River Plate | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLLDD
Argentinos Juniors: last 6
WDWLDD · 5 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Banfield | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Platense | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tigre | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Rosario Central | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Barracas Central | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: WDLDD
Season stats
| Atletico Tucuman | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Goals scored per game | 1.19 |
| 1.10 | Goals conceded per game | 0.78 |
| 0.93 | Scored per game at home | 1.41 |
| 0.93 | Scored per game away | 0.93 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 47% |
| 40% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 30% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 30 and 32 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 33 | +17 | 62 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | River Plate | 34 | +18 | 59 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 34 | +11 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| … | |||||
| 10 | Racing Club | 32 | -5 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 30 | -20 | 19 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 30 | -29 | 14 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Atletico Tucuman 10Argentinos Juniors 16
- Matches in the last 14 days: Atletico Tucuman 1 · Argentinos Juniors 0
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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