Platense vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Platense to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Platense are favourites at 57%, with Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) on 17% and the draw on 26%. Platense are 13th and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 14th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Platense won one and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Platense win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win or draw
- 43%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 65%
- 3+ goals
- 39%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 39%
- No
- 61%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Platense and 0.7 from Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57% | 26% | 17% | Stats preview | #2209 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Platense: last 6
WLDDLW · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Gimnasia M. | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Lanus | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Argentinos JRS | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | at Velez Sarsfield | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Newells Old Boys | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Fluminense CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDLWD
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): last 6
LLDDDL · 7 scored, 15 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Velez Sarsfield | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Oct | at Newells Old Boys | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Oct | at Deportivo Riestra | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Boca Juniors | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLDL
Season stats
| Platense | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.80 | Goals scored per game | 0.73 |
| 1.17 | Goals conceded per game | 1.47 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.47 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| 47% | Both teams scored | 37% |
| 23% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 47% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 30 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 30 | -22 | 26 | LLDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 30 | -11 | 23 | LDLDD |
Match context
- Travel for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- 941 km
- Rest days
- Platense 10Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Platense 1 · Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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