Huracán vs Tigre prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Huracán to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 69% · bookies 69%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean Huracán, with the coach and sceptic agreeing the 44-32-24 split is broadly fair and the goals line looks right at 31% over. Tigre's five-game losing run and poor away form are the main worry, but Huracán's own three straight defeats and low scoring rates keep the draw live. A tight, low-scoring home win is the consensus reading.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Huracán's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHuracán score 1.00 per game and concede 0.94; Tigre average 1.03 scored and 1.03 conceded. Both teams score only 37% here.
Huracán: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureHuracán's stronger position and home record give them the edge
Huracán sit 7th on 44 points from 32 games; Tigre are 11th on 33 from 30. Tigre have lost five of their last six and four of their last five away.
Huracán: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome prices look fair, but Tigre's away collapse is barely priced in
Tigre have lost five straight and their away record reads D L L L L with 11 conceded in five. Goals line at 31% over 2.5 looks fair given both sides' low over rates.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Huracán are slight favourites at 44%, with Tigre on 24% and the draw on 32%. Huracán are 7th and Tigre 11th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Huracán won two and Tigre none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Huracán win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 68%
- Tigre win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 58%
- 3+ goals
- 31%
- 4+ goals
- 13%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 37%
- No
- 63%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Huracán and 0.8 from Tigre. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 32% | 24% | Stats preview | #1895 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Huracán: last 6
LLLWWW · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Rosario Central | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Barracas Central | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Aldosivi | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at River Plate | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Racing Club | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: LWWDD
Tigre: last 6
LDLLLL · 6 scored, 11 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Atletico Tucuman | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Independ. Rivadavia | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Banfield | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | at Argentinos JRS | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | at Velez Sarsfield | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Rosario Central | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLLL
Season stats
| Huracán | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.03 |
| 0.94 | Goals conceded per game | 1.03 |
| 1.13 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.88 | Scored per game away | 1.07 |
| 34% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| 47% | Both teams scored | 53% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 34% | Failed to score | 37% |
League matches only, 32 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 34 | +11 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracán | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 30 | +2 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 32 | -5 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 30 | -20 | 19 | WLLLW |
Match context
- Travel for Tigre
- 0 km
- Rest days
- Huracán 5Tigre 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Huracán 1 · Tigre 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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