Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Newell's Old Boys to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Newell's Old Boys are favourites at 50%, with Unión (Santa Fe) on 22% and the draw on 28%. Newell's Old Boys are 11th and Unión (Santa Fe) 8th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Newell's Old Boys won two and Unión (Santa Fe) one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Newell's Old Boys win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Unión (Santa Fe) win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 44%
- No
- 56%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Newell's Old Boys and 0.9 from Unión (Santa Fe). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 0–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 28% | 22% | Stats preview | #2210 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Newell's Old Boys: last 6
DWLDWD · 4 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | at San Lorenzo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Gimnasia M. | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Lanus | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Platense | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDDWW
Unión (Santa Fe): last 6
WDLLLL · 6 scored, 11 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | at Deportivo Riestra | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Boca Juniors | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Independiente | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Talleres Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLWL
Season stats
| Newell's Old Boys | Unión (Santa Fe) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Goals scored per game | 1.47 |
| 1.23 | Goals conceded per game | 1.44 |
| 1.07 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.29 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 16% |
| 37% | Failed to score | 28% |
League matches only, 30 and 32 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Defensa Y Justicia | 30 | +4 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P. | 31 | +10 | 45 | LLDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 31 | +0 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 8 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 32 | +1 | 41 | WDLLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Newell's Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 30 | -22 | 26 | LLDDD |
Match context
- Travel for Unión (Santa Fe)
- 144 km
- Rest days
- Newell's Old Boys 7Unión (Santa Fe) 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Newell's Old Boys 2 · Unión (Santa Fe) 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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