Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Gimnasia L.P. to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The consensus across the three readings points towards Gimnasia L.P. being the superior side, driven by their strong league position and higher scoring rate. However, Estudiantes' recent defensive fragility at home suggests that the draw remains a plausible result.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersGimnasia's higher offensive output and better overall scoring rate should see them through this fixture.
Gimnasia L.P. averages 1.28 goals scored per game, compared to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's 0.47. Estudiantes' home form is weak, having scored only 3 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap in league standing and points accumulation suggests a clear advantage for the visiting side.
Gimnasia L.P. sits 5th with 54 points from 32 games, while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is 15th with 14 points from 30 games. Gimnasia has a rest of 7 days, compared to Estudiantes' 4 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWhile Gimnasia is favoured, Estudiantes' home environment and recent defensive struggles make the draw a viable outcome.
The market heavily favours Gimnasia L.P.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Gimnasia L.P. are favourites at 53%, with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto on 20% and the draw on 27%. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto are 15th and Gimnasia L.P. 5th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won one and Gimnasia L.P. two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win or draw
- 47%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Gimnasia L.P. win or draw
- 80%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 0.8 goals from Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 1.5 from Gimnasia L.P.. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 0–0 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 27% | 53% | Stats preview | #1896 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: last 6
LWLLLL · 6 scored, 10 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Barracas Central | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Aldosivi | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at River Plate | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Racing Club | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Belgrano Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | at Instituto Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLDL
Gimnasia L.P.: last 6
WWDDDD · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Sarmiento Junin | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Huracan | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Atletico Tucuman | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Independ. Rivadavia | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Banfield | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Argentinos JRS | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WDDWL
Season stats
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | Gimnasia L.P. | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | Goals scored per game | 1.28 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 0.53 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 0.40 | Scored per game away | 1.06 |
| 37% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 53% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 28% |
| 60% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 30 and 32 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | River Plate | 34 | +18 | 59 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 34 | +11 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 30 | +2 | 43 | WDWWL |
| … | |||||
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 30 | -20 | 19 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 30 | -29 | 14 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Gimnasia L.P.
- 699 km
- Rest days
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 4Gimnasia L.P. 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 · Gimnasia L.P. 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 22°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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