Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Deportivo Riestra to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68% · bookies 68%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysis suggests a tight contest where the low scoring environment (2.16 goals per match) is a key factor. While Talleres holds the advantage in the table and rest, both teams exhibit significant struggles in their recent form and offensive consistency.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think Talleres (Córdoba)'s chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Talleres (Córdoba) favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersDeportivo Riestra averages 0.50 goals per game overall, while Talleres averages 0.97. Riestra scores 0.80 at home, but concedes 0.87 per game.
Talleres (Córdoba): clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTalleres' superior league position and rest offer a slight edge over Riestra's form.
Talleres sits 3 points ahead of Riestra in the table, with 35 points from 31 games. Talleres has 7 days rest compared to Riestra's 4 days.
Talleres (Córdoba): strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may overvalue Riestra given their recent poor form and defensive struggles.
Riestra has lost 3 of their last 6 matches. Talleres has won only 1 of its last 6 away fixtures. Both teams have failed to score in 63% and 39% of their season matches, respectively.
Talleres (Córdoba): strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Deportivo Riestra are slight favourites at 43%, with Talleres (Córdoba) on 25% and the draw on 32%. Deportivo Riestra are 15th and Talleres (Córdoba) 12th in Liga Profesional. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Deportivo Riestra win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 68%
- Talleres (Córdoba) win or draw
- 57%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 59%
- 3+ goals
- 32%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Deportivo Riestra and 0.8 from Talleres (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 32% | 25% | Stats preview | #2141 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Deportivo Riestra: last 6
LDLDDL · 2 scored, 7 conceded
| 27 Oct | at Instituto Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Union Santa Fe | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | at San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Gimnasia M. | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Lanus | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: DDLDW
Talleres (Córdoba): last 6
LLDLLW · 5 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Boca Juniors | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Independiente | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Belgrano Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Instituto Cordoba | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Union Santa Fe | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLLLW
Season stats
| Deportivo Riestra | Talleres (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | Goals scored per game | 0.97 |
| 0.87 | Goals conceded per game | 1.16 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game at home | 0.94 |
| 0.20 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 10% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| 27% | Both teams scored | 48% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 63% | Failed to score | 39% |
League matches only, 30 and 31 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 30 | -22 | 26 | LLDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 30 | -11 | 23 | LDLDD |
Match context
- Travel for Talleres (Córdoba)
- 648 km
- Rest days
- Deportivo Riestra 4Talleres (Córdoba) 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Deportivo Riestra 2 · Talleres (Córdoba) 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 14 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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