Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Estudiantes de La Plata to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Estudiantes de La Plata are favourites at 45%, with Instituto (Córdoba) on 24% and the draw on 31%. Estudiantes de La Plata are 6th and Instituto (Córdoba) 3rd in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Estudiantes de La Plata won one and Instituto (Córdoba) four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Estudiantes de La Plata win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- Instituto (Córdoba) win or draw
- 55%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 61%
- 3+ goals
- 34%
- 4+ goals
- 16%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 40%
- No
- 60%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Estudiantes de La Plata and 0.8 from Instituto (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 31% | 24% | Stats preview | #2146 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Estudiantes de La Plata: last 6
LDLDDW · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Union Santa Fe | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | at Flamengo CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs San Lorenzo | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Flamengo CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Oct | vs Gimnasia M. | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWWD
Instituto (Córdoba): last 6
WWDWWW · 13 scored, 5 conceded
| 27 Oct | vs Deportivo Riestra | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Defensa Y Justicia | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Boca Juniors | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | at Independiente | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Talleres Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WWLDW
Season stats
| Estudiantes de La Plata | Instituto (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Goals scored per game | 1.27 |
| 0.84 | Goals conceded per game | 0.90 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 39% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| 29% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 42% | Clean sheets | 37% |
| 42% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 31 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 31 | +20 | 57 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 31 | +15 | 55 | WWLDW |
| 3 | Instituto (Córdoba) | 30 | +11 | 53 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Lanus | 31 | +8 | 48 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Defensa Y Justicia | 30 | +4 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 31 | +10 | 45 | LLDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 31 | +0 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | +1 | 41 | WDLLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
Match context
- Travel for Instituto (Córdoba)
- 699 km
- Rest days
- Estudiantes de La Plata 5Instituto (Córdoba) 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Estudiantes de La Plata 3 · Instituto (Córdoba) 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
