Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Entebbe UPPC to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 63%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The goals case splits neatly - Maroons bring the over record, Entebbe the clean sheets and two 0-0 head-to-heads - so the 37% over 2.5 figure holds up as a modest lean towards fewer goals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersEntebbe keep clean sheets in 71% of matches and concede just 0.29 per game, while Maroons score 1.86 per game with both teams scoring in 71% of theirs. Something gives: Entebbe have failed to score in 43% of matches, so Maroons' 1.0 expected goals looks fair.
Maroons: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFourth hosting seventh, and the table says Entebbe have the steadier platform.
Entebbe sit 4th on 14 points from 7 games (W4 D2 L1) against Maroons on 10 (W3 D1 L3). Entebbe have 6 days' rest but two games in 14; Maroons have 8 days and just one. Entebbe's only recent blemishes are draws at URA and Mbarara City.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe head-to-head screams 0-0, so the 37% over 2.5 looks about right, maybe generous.
Both meetings in 2026 finished 0-0, and Entebbe's games feature 2.16 goals per match league-wide with only 29% going over 2.5. Maroons' 71% over rate is real, but Entebbe's 14% both-teams-scored rate tempers it. The 42% home number looks fair.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Entebbe UPPC are slight favourites at 42%, with Maroons on 29% and the draw on 29%. Entebbe UPPC are 4th and Maroons 7th in the Uganda Premier League. In their last five league games, Entebbe UPPC won two and Maroons two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Entebbe UPPC win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Maroons win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 64%
- 3+ goals
- 37%
- 4+ goals
- 18%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 44%
- No
- 56%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Entebbe UPPC and 1.0 from Maroons. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 29% | 29% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1691 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Entebbe UPPC: last 6
WDWDLW · 6 scored, 2 conceded
| 22 Oct | at Kigezi HomeBoyz | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at URA | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Police | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Mbarara City | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Lugazi | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs UPDF | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: WLW
Maroons: last 6
WDWLLW · 12 scored, 6 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Kataka | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Vipers | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Lugazi | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | at UPDF | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Blacks Power | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | at Ntugasaze | 3–1 | W |
Last 3 away: DLW
Season stats
| Entebbe UPPC | Maroons | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.86 |
| 0.29 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 14% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 71% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 43% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Uganda Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | +11 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | +13 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | +8 | 14 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | +5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | -2 | 12 | WLLLW |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | +11 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | +5 | 10 | WDWLL |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | +0 | 10 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | +2 | 8 | WWDD |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | -1 | 8 | LWWDL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Entebbe UPPC won 0, Maroons 0, 2 draws; 0.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | Maroons | 0–0 | Entebbe UPPC | Premier League |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Entebbe UPPC | 0–0 | Maroons | Premier League |
Match context
- Travel for Maroons
- 70 km
- Rest days
- Entebbe UPPC 6Maroons 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Entebbe UPPC 2 · Maroons 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 24°C · wind 9 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Uganda Premier League average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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