BUL vs Entebbe UPPC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
BUL to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 67%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: a BUL win built on control rather than goals. The coach sees Entebbe's 71% clean-sheet rate blunting the hosts, the sceptic notes their unbeaten away run, and the dressing room notes BUL's perfect home record. Over 2.5 at 33% reflects a tight, low-scoring affair.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBUL's home scoring meets Entebbe's miserly defence - a low-scoring home win.
Entebbe have failed to score in 43% of matches, so both teams score at 40% looks fair.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureLeague leaders with a perfect home run should have the edge.
BUL sit top on 19 points from 7 games, unbeaten, and have won all four at home. Entebbe are 4th on 14 points but arrive with two scored in four away games. Ten days of rest for BUL against nine for Entebbe means freshness is no excuse for either.
BUL: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published numbers look about right, maybe slightly home-heavy.
Over 2.5 at 33% fits Entebbe's 29% season rate.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
BUL are slight favourites at 42%, with Entebbe UPPC on 28% and the draw on 30%. BUL are 1st and Entebbe UPPC 4th in the Uganda Premier League. In their last five league games, BUL won four and Entebbe UPPC two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- BUL win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Entebbe UPPC win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 60%
- 3+ goals
- 33%
- 4+ goals
- 15%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 40%
- No
- 60%
We expect about 1.2 goals from BUL and 0.9 from Entebbe UPPC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 30% | 27% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1826 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
BUL: last 6
WWDWWW · 14 scored, 4 conceded
| 21 Oct | vs NEC | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at UPDF | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | at Lugazi | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Blacks Power | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Ntugasaze | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | at Kataka | 4–1 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWW
Entebbe UPPC: last 6
WDWDLW · 6 scored, 2 conceded
| 22 Oct | at Kigezi HomeBoyz | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at URA | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Police | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Mbarara City | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Lugazi | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs UPDF | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 away: WDDW
Season stats
| BUL | Entebbe UPPC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.14 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 0.57 | Goals conceded per game | 0.29 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 14% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 71% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Uganda Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | +11 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | +13 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | +8 | 14 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | +5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | -2 | 12 | WLLLW |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | +11 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | +5 | 10 | WDWLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- BUL 10Entebbe UPPC 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: BUL 2 · Entebbe UPPC 1
- Goals in this league
- Uganda Premier League average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
