SC Villa vs Blacks Power prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Villa to win: 64%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 58%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The analysts agree that SC Villa is the likely winner, supported by their strong home record and league position. While one analyst notes a dip in recent form, the overall data points towards a high-scoring match where SC Villa should prevail.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSC Villa's strong home attacking record should be the deciding factor in this match.
SC Villa averages 2.00 goals scored at home, while Blacks Power only averages 1.33 goals scored away. SC Villa's season scoring rate in this competition is 2.29 goals per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSC Villa's superior league standing and recent form give them the advantage.
SC Villa sits 2nd in the table with 17 points from 7 games, having secured 5 wins and 2 draws. Blacks Power is 5th with 12 points from 7 games. SC Villa has only had 2 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be overestimating SC Villa's current form dip in recent fixtures.
In the last 6 games, SC Villa has recorded 3 losses, while Blacks Power has seen 3 losses in their last 6 away fixtures. The H2H record shows SC Villa winning 2 matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
SC Villa are clear favourites at 64%, with Blacks Power on 16% and the draw on 20%. SC Villa are 2nd and Blacks Power 5th in the Uganda Premier League. In their last five league games, SC Villa won four and Blacks Power two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- SC Villa win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Blacks Power win or draw
- 36%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 2.1 goals from SC Villa and 0.9 from Blacks Power. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64% | 20% | 16% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1565 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
SC Villa: last 6
LWLWDW · 13 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Lijabatho Premier League | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Mbarara City | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Lifofane Premier League | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | at Police | 6–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | at Kataka | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LWWWD
Blacks Power: last 6
WLLLWW · 8 scored, 11 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs URA | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Mbarara City | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Vipers | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | at BUL | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | at Maroons | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Police | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 away: LLW
Season stats
| SC Villa | Blacks Power | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | Goals scored per game | 1.29 |
| 0.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.57 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 2.67 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 57% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Uganda Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | +11 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | +13 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | +8 | 14 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | +5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | -2 | 12 | WLLLW |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | +11 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | +5 | 10 | WDWLL |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | +0 | 10 | WWWDL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: SC Villa won 2, Blacks Power 0, 0 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2023 | SC Villa | 1–0 | Blacks Power | Premier League |
| 7 Dec 2022 | Blacks Power | 0–1 | SC Villa | Premier League |
Match context
- Travel for Blacks Power
- 184 km
- Rest days
- SC Villa 2Blacks Power 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: SC Villa 4 · Blacks Power 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 25°C · wind 6 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Uganda Premier League average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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