Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Temperley to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 70% · bookies 70%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The Sceptic notes the low 1.8 goals-per-game head-to-head average and sees the over 2.5 at 34% as slightly generous, with the coach's low both-teams-score rates pointing the same way.
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts think Temperley's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTemperley's home scoring against Chacarita's frail away record points to a home win
Chacarita have lost all of their last five away, scoring just 2 and conceding 8, and fail to score in 47% of matches. Both-teams-score rates are low, 47% and 29%, so goals may come from one end.
Temperley: strongly underrated
High The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond versus 16th: Temperley's points and form make them firm favourites
Temperley have lost just one of their last six and are unbeaten in five at home. Both had one game in 14 days, Temperley on 6 days rest to Chacarita's 8, so no load excuse either way.
Temperley: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Temperley are favourites at 46%, with Chacarita Juniors on 21% and the draw on 33%. Temperley are 2nd and Chacarita Juniors 16th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Temperley won three and Chacarita Juniors three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Temperley win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 67%
- Chacarita Juniors win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 57%
- 3+ goals
- 30%
- 4+ goals
- 13%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 36%
- No
- 64%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Temperley and 0.7 from Chacarita Juniors. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (18%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61% | 26% | 14% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1188 | |
| 2 | 50% | 31% | 19% | Prices moved | #1346 | |
| 3 | 46% | 33% | 21% | Prices moved | #1407 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Temperley: last 6
DWWLWD · 8 scored, 5 conceded
| 18 Oct | at San Martin S.J. | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Nueva Chicago | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Almagro | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Patronato | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Chacarita Juniors: last 6
WLWLWL · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Deportivo Maipu | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Almagro | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Patronato | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Colegiales | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Quilmes | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Midland | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Temperley | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Goals scored per game | 0.76 |
| 0.82 | Goals conceded per game | 1.03 |
| 1.88 | Scored per game at home | 1.06 |
| 0.53 | Scored per game away | 0.47 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 26% |
| 47% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 32% |
| 32% | Failed to score | 47% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | +18 | 63 | DWDDW |
| 2 | Temperley | 34 | +13 | 60 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | +9 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | +7 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | +6 | 52 | WDLWL |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Almagro | 35 | -10 | 42 | DLWWL |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 34 | -11 | 40 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | -4 | 37 | LWLWD |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | -9 | 36 | WLWLW |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | -9 | 36 | LLLWD |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | -32 | 26 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Temperley won 2, Chacarita Juniors 1, 3 draws; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Chacarita Juniors | 0–0 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Temperley | 0–3 | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Chacarita Juniors | 1–2 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 6 Mar 2022 | Chacarita Juniors | 2–2 | Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Temperley | 0–0 | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Travel for Chacarita Juniors
- 19 km
- Rest days
- Temperley 6Chacarita Juniors 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Temperley 1 · Chacarita Juniors 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 14 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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