Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) vs Los Andes prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 71% · bookies 71%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings line up on the same picture: Estudiantes edging a low-scoring game, with the model's 43-34-23 split and 23% over 2.5 looking fair. Home strength against a side winless in five away, plus tight defensive records and a goal-shy head-to-head, all point under 2.5.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Los Andes's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Los Andes favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo tight defensive sides point to a low-scoring home win
Los Andes have scored two or fewer in every away game of their last five.
Los Andes: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth stuck mid-table; Estudiantes' home run gives them the edge
Estudiantes sit 8th on 48 points, Los Andes 9th on 41, with a seven-point gap after 34 games. Both sides are well rested, Estudiantes with 6 days and Los Andes 7 since their last game.
Los Andes: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe numbers look fair, but the 0-0 head-to-head history suggests home win slightly rich
The model gives Estudiantes 43%, and home form of four wins in five (9 scored, 3 conceded) supports an edge.
Los Andes: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) are favourites at 57%, with Los Andes on 15% and the draw on 28%. Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) are 8th and Los Andes 10th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) won three and Los Andes one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) win or draw
- 85%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Los Andes win or draw
- 43%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 56%
- 3+ goals
- 29%
- 4+ goals
- 12%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 31%
- No
- 69%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) and 0.5 from Los Andes. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (20%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 34% | 23% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1173 | |
| 2 | 57% | 28% | 15% | Prices moved | #1293 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Estudiantes (Buenos Aires): last 6
LWLWWW · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Godoy Cruz | 3–6 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Deportivo Moron | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Colon Santa Fe | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at San Telmo | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Acassuso | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWDW
Los Andes: last 6
DLLWLD · 5 scored, 9 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs All Boys | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | at Racing Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | at Godoy Cruz | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Deportivo Moron | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Colon Santa Fe | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs San Miguel | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LLLDD
Season stats
| Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.76 |
| 0.97 | Goals conceded per game | 0.74 |
| 1.18 | Scored per game at home | 0.82 |
| 0.82 | Scored per game away | 0.71 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 24% |
| 35% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 47% |
| 35% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 35 | +16 | 57 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 35 | -1 | 51 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | +4 | 48 | DDLLL |
| 8 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 34 | +1 | 48 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
| 10 | Los Andes | 34 | +1 | 41 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | -10 | 40 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 34 | -8 | 39 | WDWLL |
| 13 | Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | -7 | 38 | DLDLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) won 1, Los Andes 2, 3 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | Los Andes | 0–0 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | Primera Nacional |
| 17 May 2014 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 3–0 | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| 29 Nov 2013 | Los Andes | 1–0 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | Primera B Metropolitana |
| 16 Feb 2013 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 0–0 | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| 2 Sep 2012 | Los Andes | 0–0 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | Primera B Metropolitana |
| 19 May 2012 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 0–2 | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana |
Match context
- Rest days
- Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) 6Los Andes 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) 1 · Los Andes 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 17°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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