Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colón (Santa Fe) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Ciudad de Bolívar 35%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68% · bookies 68% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
All three readings converge on a tight, low-scoring contest between two evenly matched sides. The Coach sees two frugal defences, the Dressing Room gives Bolívar a slight home edge from their strong run, and the Sceptic finds the published 35-34-32 split and modest over price broadly fair. A narrow home lean with goals scarce is the consistent conclusion.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Ciudad de Bolívar's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring, finely balanced match.
Everything reads tight and low-scoring.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureNear-neighbours in the table with matching rest, but the home run gives Bolívar the edge.
Colón sit 5th on 54 points, Bolívar 6th on 51, so little separates them. Colón's away form reads D D L L W with 2 scored and 4 conceded. Both had 7 days' rest.
Ciudad de Bolívar: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published numbers look broadly fair, though the over line sits a touch high.
The 35-34-32 split matches a genuinely even match with expected goals of 1.0 apiece. The over 2.5 price of 32% is only just above the 31% for 3+ goals, and both-teams-scored at 39% supports a low total. The last meeting finished 0-0, so goals look rightly priced as scarce.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Ciudad de Bolívar are slight favourites at 35%, with Colón (Santa Fe) on 32% and the draw on 33%. Ciudad de Bolívar are 6th and Colón (Santa Fe) 5th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Ciudad de Bolívar won four and Colón (Santa Fe) two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ciudad de Bolívar win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 66%
- Colón (Santa Fe) win or draw
- 65%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 58%
- 3+ goals
- 31%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 39%
- No
- 61%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Ciudad de Bolívar and 1.0 from Colón (Santa Fe). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (13%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 34% | 32% | Stats preview | #825 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ciudad de Bolívar: last 6
WWWWLD · 6 scored, 3 conceded
| 17 Oct | at San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs San Telmo | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Acassuso | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Chaco For Ever | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Ferro Carril Oeste | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Central Norte | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWDWD
Colón (Santa Fe): last 6
DDWDWL · 6 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Almirante Brown | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Atletico Mitre | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs CA Estudiantes | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at All Boys | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Los Andes | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Godoy Cruz | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: DDLLW
Season stats
| Ciudad de Bolívar | Colón (Santa Fe) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Goals scored per game | 1.21 |
| 0.85 | Goals conceded per game | 0.79 |
| 0.94 | Scored per game at home | 1.59 |
| 0.82 | Scored per game away | 0.82 |
| 26% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| 41% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 47% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 32% | Failed to score | 32% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | +16 | 60 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | +15 | 58 | LLWLL |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | +20 | 57 | WDLWD |
| 5 | Colón (Santa Fe) | 35 | +16 | 57 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 35 | -1 | 51 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | +4 | 48 | DDLLL |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | +1 | 48 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Ciudad de Bolívar won 0, Colón (Santa Fe) 0, 1 draw; 0.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Colón (Santa Fe) | 0–0 | Ciudad de Bolívar | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Ciudad de Bolívar 7Colón (Santa Fe) 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ciudad de Bolívar 2 · Colón (Santa Fe) 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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