Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) vs Atlanta prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 57% · bookies 57%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean Gimnasia, with the coach and dressing room close to the published 52/23/24 and the sceptic trimming the home edge on Atlanta's stronger win record and recent head-to-head. On goals, two back the 55% over line while the sceptic dips below it, citing Atlanta's low-scoring profile, so the total is the real point of disagreement.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Atlanta's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Atlanta favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHome attack should set the tone against a leakier away defence.
Gimnasia score 1.88 per game at home and both teams scored in 65% of their matches, while Atlanta concede 0.97 per game overall but shipped 7 in their last 5 away. Atlanta keep clean sheets in 47% of games, so expect Gimnasia to create enough without a runaway scoreline.
Atlanta: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo sides level on points makes this a genuine four-pointer.
Both sit on 58 points from 34 games, Gimnasia 3rd and Atlanta 4th, so a direct rival visit raises the stakes. Gimnasia are unbeaten in four at home (D D W D W) with 8 scored, and both had a full week's rest, so freshness is equal and pressure should produce an open game.
Atlanta: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home lean looks fair, but Atlanta's away record argues for caution.
Their 38% over-2.5 rate and 38% both-teams-score rate sit well below Gimnasia's, so 55% for over 2.5 looks slightly high to me.
Atlanta: clearly underrated
More goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) are favourites at 51%, with Atlanta on 19% and the draw on 30%. Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) are 3rd and Atlanta 4th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) won one and Atlanta three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) win or draw
- 82%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Atlanta win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 43%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) and 0.9 from Atlanta. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 23% | 24% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1186 | |
| 2 | 51% | 30% | 18% | Prices moved | #1294 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy): last 6
WDLDDW · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Temperley | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs San Martin Tucuman | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo Maipu | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Atletico DE Rafaela | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DDWDW
Atlanta: last 6
LWWWDW · 8 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs San Martin Tucuman | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Atletico DE Rafaela | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Agropecuario | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | at Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWDWL
Season stats
| Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.18 |
| 1.24 | Goals conceded per game | 0.97 |
| 1.88 | Scored per game at home | 1.29 |
| 1.12 | Scored per game away | 1.06 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 65% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 47% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 24% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | +18 | 63 | DWDDW |
| 2 | Temperley | 34 | +13 | 60 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 34 | +9 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | +7 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | +6 | 52 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Midland | 34 | +11 | 51 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Colegiales | 35 | +4 | 51 | DWDWW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) won 2, Atlanta 2, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | Atlanta | 3–0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Primera Nacional |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 2–0 | Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| 22 May 2023 | Atlanta | 1–2 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Primera Nacional |
| 24 Mar 2022 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 1–1 | Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| 21 Apr 2012 | Atlanta | 0–0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Primera Nacional |
| 16 Oct 2011 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 0–4 | Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 7Atlanta 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 1 · Atlanta 1
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
