Colegiales vs Atletico Rafaela prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Colegiales to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 67% · bookies 67% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a Colegiales victory, driven by their superior home attacking record and league standing. While the market suggests a low probability of goals, the combined form data points towards a competitive match with a higher chance of multiple goals.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Atletico Rafaela's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Atletico Rafaela favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersColegiales' strong home attacking form should prove too much for Rafaela's poor away defence.
Colegiales has scored 7 goals in its last 5 home matches, conceding only 1. Rafaela has scored just 1 goal in its last 5 away fixtures, conceding 9.
Atletico Rafaela: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureColegiales holds a significant advantage in the league table heading into this fixture.
Colegiales sits 7th with 50 points, while Atletico Rafaela is 11th with 45 points. Both teams have 7 days rest.
Atletico Rafaela: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be underestimating the defensive fragility of Atletico Rafaela on the road.
The head-to-head record shows a 1-0 win for Rafaela.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Colegiales are favourites at 56%, with Atletico Rafaela on 16% and the draw on 28%. Colegiales are 7th and Atletico Rafaela 11th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Colegiales won three and Atletico Rafaela two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Colegiales win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Atletico Rafaela win or draw
- 44%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 60%
- 3+ goals
- 33%
- 4+ goals
- 15%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 35%
- No
- 65%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Colegiales and 0.6 from Atletico Rafaela. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 0–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 28% | 16% | Stats preview | #819 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Colegiales: last 6
WDWWLW · 7 scored, 3 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Agropecuario | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | at Club Atlético Güemes | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Chacarita Juniors | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at San Martin S.J. | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWW
Atletico Rafaela: last 6
WLLLWL · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Midland | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Atlanta | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs San Martin Tucuman | 4–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLD
Season stats
| Colegiales | Atletico Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Goals scored per game | 0.82 |
| 0.91 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.53 | Scored per game at home | 1.29 |
| 0.53 | Scored per game away | 0.35 |
| 35% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 32% | Both teams scored | 32% |
| 47% | Clean sheets | 47% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 41% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | +7 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | +6 | 52 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Midland | 34 | +11 | 51 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Colegiales | 35 | +4 | 51 | DWDWW |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | +7 | 48 | LDWWD |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 34 | +2 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 35 | +2 | 46 | LWLWD |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 35 | -6 | 46 | DWLLL |
| 12 | Quilmes | 35 | +2 | 42 | WLLDW |
| 13 | Almagro | 35 | -10 | 42 | DLWWL |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 34 | -11 | 40 | LWDLW |
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Colegiales won 0, Atletico Rafaela 1, 0 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | Atletico Rafaela | 1–0 | Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Colegiales 7Atletico Rafaela 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Colegiales 1 · Atletico Rafaela 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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