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‹ Primera Nacional · Matchday 35
Mitre (Santiago del Estero) 12thWDWLL
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 2ndWDWDW

Mitre (Santiago del Estero) vs Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba to win: 50%, about 1 in 2

Mitre (Santiago del Estero)21%Bookies 21
Draw29%Bookies 29
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba50%Bookies 50

Goals call2 goals or fewer 67% · bookies 67%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

The three readings converge on a close game: the Coach sees a low-event tactical profile, the Dressing Room backs Godoy Cruz's form and points advantage, the Sceptic finds no clear error in the model. Published numbers — Godoy Cruz 39%, draw 28%, over 2.5 at 42% — sit comfortably within all three ranges.

Version 2 · updated Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

All three think Mitre (Santiago del Estero)'s chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Mitre (Santiago del Estero) favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Two blunt attacks and tight defences point to a low-event game.

Mitre score 0.91 per game with 38% blanks, and at home have 3 scored and 5 conceded across five. Godoy Cruz score just 0.82 away but concede 0.94 overall with 32% clean sheets.

Mitre (Santiago del Estero)Mitre (Santiago del Estero): strongly underrated More goalsHigh

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Second-placed visitors arrive fresher in results than the hosts' home form.

Godoy Cruz are 2nd with 60 points from 34 games and five unbeaten, while Mitre sit 12th on 39 and are winless in five home games. The visitors played twice in 14 days to Mitre's one, but the recent gap in results outweighs the extra six-day turnaround.

Mitre (Santiago del Estero)Mitre (Santiago del Estero): strongly underrated More goalsHigh

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

Model leans home too much; away deserved the favourite tag.

Godoy Cruz average 2.00 away per game, won 2-1 in the 2026 meeting and have 50% BTTS.

Mitre (Santiago del Estero)Mitre (Santiago del Estero): strongly underrated More goalsHigh

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba are favourites at 50%, with Mitre (Santiago del Estero) on 21% and the draw on 29%. Mitre (Santiago del Estero) are 12th and Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 2nd in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Mitre (Santiago del Estero) won two and Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Mitre (Santiago del Estero) win or draw
50%
Either team wins (no draw)
71%
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win or draw
79%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
33%
4+ goals
15%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
37%
No
63%

We expect about 0.7 goals from Mitre (Santiago del Estero) and 1.3 from Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–1 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 1–0 (10%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 33%28%39%Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)#1206
2 21%29%50%Prices moved#1338

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Mitre (Santiago del Estero): last 6

WDWLLD · 4 scored, 4 conceded

18 Octat Deportivo Moron2–0W
11 Octvs Colon Santa Fe0–0D
3 Octat San Miguel2–0W
27 Sepvs San Telmo0–2L
19 Sepat Acassuso0–2L
13 Sepvs Chaco For Ever0–0D

Last 5 at home: DLDDD

Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba: last 6

WDWDWW · 14 scored, 7 conceded

18 Octvs CA Estudiantes6–3W
12 Octat All Boys0–0D
4 Octvs Los Andes2–1W
27 Sepat Racing Cordoba2–2D
20 Sepat Deportivo Moron2–1W
13 Sepvs Colon Santa Fe2–0W

Last 5 away: DDWWL

Season stats

Mitre (Santiago del Estero)Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba
0.91Goals scored per game1.41
1.15Goals conceded per game0.94
1.00Scored per game at home2.00
0.82Scored per game away0.82
35%Matches over 2.5 goals47%
41%Both teams scored50%
41%Clean sheets32%
38%Failed to score29%

League matches only, 34 games each.

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
1Ferro Carril Oeste35+765LWDLW
2Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba34+1660WDWDW
3Deportivo Moron34+1558LLWLL
4Deportivo Madryn35+2057WDLWD
5Colon Santa Fe35+1657WDDWD
…
9Chaco For Ever35+043WLWDL
10Los Andes34+141DLLWL
11Racing Cordoba34-1040LWDDL
12Mitre (Santiago del Estero)34-839WDWLL
13Defensores De Belgrano34-738DLDLW
14San Telmo35-1238LDLWW
15Central Norte34-837WDDDL

Full Primera Nacional table

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Mitre (Santiago del Estero) won 0, Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 1, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
7 Jun 2026Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba2–1Mitre (Santiago del Estero)Primera Nacional

Match context

Travel for Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba
716 km
Rest days
Mitre (Santiago del Estero) 7Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 6
Matches in the last 14 days: Mitre (Santiago del Estero) 1 · Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 2
Weather at kick-off
22°C · wind 8 km/h
Dry
Goals in this league
Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

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