Atlante FC 15thWLLWD

0–1

Sat 24 OctUK time (GMT)

Full time

Atletico San Luis 12thWDLWW

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Atlante to win: 44%, about 2 in 5

Atlante44%Bookies 44

Draw27%Bookies 27

Atletico San Luis29%Bookies 29

Goals call3+ goals 53% · bookies 53% · ✗ 1 goals

The Verdict

All three see a fairly even, open game: the coach points to two leaky defences and high both-teams-score rates, the dressing room notes only two points between 12th and 15th with equal rest, and the sceptic thinks the home edge is slightly overstated given San Luis's away scoring and head-to-head record. The published 54% over 2.5 looks broadly fair.

! Upset: we gave Atletico San Luis 29% Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

All three think Atletico San Luis's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Atletico San Luis favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Both leak goals, so an open game looks likely

San Luis see 69% of matches go over 2.5 and both teams score in 69%, so chances should come at both ends.

Atletico San Luis: slightly underrated More goalsLow

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Two mid-table sides with little to separate them

San Luis sit 12th on 16 points, Atlante 15th on 14, both after 13 games. Both have 3 days' rest and 3 games in 14 days, so fatigue is even. Atlante's home form of L W L D D offers little comfort.

Atletico San Luis: slightly underrated Low

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The home edge looks slightly generous

San Luis have won 3 of the last 6 head-to-heads and score 1.50 per game away versus Atlante's 1.17 at home. Atlante have lost 3 of their last 6. A 42% home rating feels a touch high; I'd shade San Luis closer to level.

Atletico San Luis: clearly underrated Med

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Atlante FC are slight favourites at 44%, with Atletico San Luis on 29% and the draw on 27%. Atlante FC are 15th and Atletico San Luis 12th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Atlante FC won two and Atletico San Luis three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Atlante FC win or draw: 71%
Either team wins (no draw): 73%
Atletico San Luis win or draw: 56%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 77%
3+ goals: 53%
4+ goals: 31%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 56%
No: 44%

We expect about 1.6 goals from Atlante FC and 1.2 from Atletico San Luis. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	23 Oct 04:00	42%	27%	31%	Stats preview	#644
2	24 Oct 02:03	44%	27%	29%	Prices moved	#832

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Atlante FC: last 6

WLLWDL · 7 scored, 10 conceded

21 Oct	at FC Juarez	1–0	W
17 Oct	vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1–2	L
10 Oct	at Club Queretaro	0–2	L
26 Sep	vs Monterrey	4–2	W
19 Sep	at Puebla	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs CF Pachuca	0–3	L

Last 5 at home: LWLDD

Atletico San Luis: last 6

WDLWWL · 10 scored, 9 conceded

21 Oct	vs Club Queretaro	2–1	W
18 Oct	at Toluca	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Santos Laguna	1–2	L
27 Sep	at U.N.A.M. - Pumas	3–2	W
19 Sep	vs Necaxa	3–1	W
15 Sep	at Leon	0–2	L

Last 5 away: DWLWL

Season stats

Atlante FC		Atletico San Luis
1.08	Goals scored per game	1.38
1.46	Goals conceded per game	1.69
1.17	Scored per game at home	1.29
1.00	Scored per game away	1.50
38%	Matches over 2.5 goals	69%
62%	Both teams scored	69%
15%	Clean sheets	8%
31%	Failed to score	31%

League matches only, 13 games each.

Liga MX table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
7	Monterrey	13	+5	20	LWWDL
8	Club Queretaro	12	+1	20	LLWWD
9	Santos Laguna	13	+3	19	WWWWW
10	Atletico San Luis	14	-3	19	WWDLW
11	Club Tijuana	12	+1	17	DDDLD
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	-3	17	DLWDL
13	Puebla	13	-4	16	LDDLD
14	Tigres UANL	14	-4	15	DLDWW
15	Atlante FC	14	-6	14	LWLLW
16	CF Pachuca	13	+2	13	LLDLD
17	Necaxa	14	-11	10	DLLDL
18	FC Juarez	14	-24	5	DLLDL

Full Liga MX table

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Atlante FC won 2, Atletico San Luis 3, 1 draw; 2.7 goals per game.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
9 Mar 2019	Atletico San Luis	0–0	Atlante FC	Liga de Expansión MX
26 Nov 2018	Atlante FC	2–0	Atletico San Luis	Liga de Expansión MX
23 Nov 2018	Atletico San Luis	3–0	Atlante FC	Liga de Expansión MX
6 Oct 2018	Atlante FC	2–3	Atletico San Luis	Liga de Expansión MX
27 Jan 2018	Atlante FC	3–1	Atletico San Luis	Liga de Expansión MX
12 Aug 2017	Atletico San Luis	2–0	Atlante FC	Liga de Expansión MX

Team news: lineups Confirmed

Atlante FC5-3-2

Goalkeeper

1Ó. Jiménez

Defenders

29Walter Portales
6J. N. Carrera
4E. Tercero
44A. Quiroz
34E. Jiménez

Midfielders

30M. Sarrafiore
8E. Pizzuto
19L. Calzadilla

Forwards

9L. Puente
7J. Julio

Substitutes (10)

3G. Sánchez
16José González
37W. Clar
13M. García
25M. Fernández
32D. Bagüí
22R. Barragan
11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
18C. Bermúdez
15Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas

Atletico San Luis3-4-3