Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Cruz Azul to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on Cruz Azul as the likely winner, supported by their superior league position and attacking metrics. While the market suggests a high probability of a Cruz Azul victory, the overall data points toward a competitive match with a strong likelihood of goals.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Cruz Azul are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Club Queretaro are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCruz Azul's superior attacking output suggests they have the edge in this encounter.
Cruz Azul averages 2.00 goals away, while Queretaro scores 1.40 goals at home. Cruz Azul concedes 1.69 goals per game, compared to Queretaro's 1.25 goals conceded.
Club Queretaro: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureCruz Azul's higher league standing and less fixture load gives them a slight advantage.
Cruz Azul sits 4th with 23 points from 13 games, while Queretaro is 8th with 20 points from 12 games. Cruz Azul has had 3 games in 14 days, compared to Queretaro's 2 games in 14 days.
Cruz Azul: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favours Cruz Azul, but the draw probability is slightly inflated given recent form.
The market prices Cruz Azul at 48%, but their away form shows 2 losses and 2 draws in the last 5. H2H results show 3 wins for Cruz Azul in the last 6 matches.
Club Queretaro: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Cruz Azul are favourites at 48%, with Club Queretaro on 27% and the draw on 25%. Club Queretaro are 8th and Cruz Azul 4th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Club Queretaro won two and Cruz Azul two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Club Queretaro win or draw
- 52%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Cruz Azul win or draw
- 73%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Club Queretaro and 1.8 from Cruz Azul. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 25% | 48% | Stats preview | #1296 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Club Queretaro: last 6
LLWWDW · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 21 Oct | at Atletico San Luis | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Santos Laguna | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Atlante FC | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Guadalajara Chivas | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Leon | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Club Tijuana | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WDLWL
Cruz Azul: last 6
WWDDLL · 13 scored, 10 conceded
| 22 Oct | at CF Pachuca | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Juarez | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Toluca | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Monterrey | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | at Inter Miami Campeones Cup | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: WDLLW
Season stats
| Club Queretaro | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Goals scored per game | 2.23 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.69 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game at home | 2.43 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 69% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 15% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 15% |
League matches only, 12 and 13 games.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | +16 | 27 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 3 | Toluca | 14 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 13 | +7 | 23 | WWDDL |
| 5 | Leon | 14 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | -2 | 21 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | +1 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | +3 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 12 | +1 | 17 | DDDLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Club Queretaro won 1, Cruz Azul 3, 2 draws; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | Club Queretaro | 1–1 | Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Cruz Azul | 2–2 | Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Cruz Azul | 1–0 | Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Club Queretaro | 0–2 | Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Club Queretaro | 1–3 | Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| 25 Sep 2023 | Cruz Azul | 1–3 | Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
Match context
- Travel for Cruz Azul
- 184 km
- Rest days
- Club Queretaro 5Cruz Azul 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Club Queretaro 2 · Cruz Azul 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 15 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 2.95 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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