Club America vs Pachuca prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Club America to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Club America victory, driven by their superior league standing and home form. While the market leans towards a high-scoring affair, the historical head-to-head record suggests a tighter contest, though goals are likely given the attacking stats.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersClub America's strong home attack should prove too much for Pachuca.
Pachuca struggles away, scoring 1.43 goals per game while conceding 1.38.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe league leaders Club America are well-positioned to secure three points at home.
Club America is 1st in the table with 27 points from 12 games and has 4 days rest. Pachuca is 16th with 13 points and has 3 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be overestimating the goal count given the historical head-to-head results.
The market suggests a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, but the last 6 head-to-head matches averaged only 1.3 goals per game.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Club America are clear favourites at 62%, with Pachuca on 18% and the draw on 20%. Club America are 1st and Pachuca 16th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Club America won three and Pachuca none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Club America win or draw
- 82%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Pachuca win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 2.1 goals from Club America and 1.1 from Pachuca. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 20% | 18% | Stats preview | #1323 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Club America: last 6
WWDWDL · 20 scored, 14 conceded
| 22 Oct | at Atlas | 5–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Leon | 5–3 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Monterrey | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | at Necaxa | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Cruz Azul | 3–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: DDWWW
Pachuca: last 6
LLDLDW · 10 scored, 10 conceded
| 22 Oct | vs Cruz Azul | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | at Monterrey | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Necaxa | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Santos Laguna | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Club Tijuana | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Atlante FC | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWWD
Season stats
| Club America | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.54 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 2.20 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game away | 1.43 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 15% |
League matches only, 12 and 13 games.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | +16 | 27 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 3 | Toluca | 14 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 13 | +7 | 23 | WWDDL |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | -4 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 14 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 14 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 16 | Pachuca | 13 | +2 | 13 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Club America won 3, Pachuca 1, 2 draws; 1.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | Pachuca | 0–0 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Club America | 2–0 | Pachuca | Liga MX |
| 11 May 2025 | Club America | 2–0 | Pachuca | Liga MX |
| 8 May 2025 | Pachuca | 0–0 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Pachuca | 1–0 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 7 Nov 2024 | Club America | 2–1 | Pachuca | Liga MX |
Match context
- Rest days
- Club America 4Pachuca 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Club America 2 · Pachuca 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 17°C · wind 10 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 2.95 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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