Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Santos Laguna to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 57% · bookies 57% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Santos Laguna are slight favourites at 42%, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas on 31% and the draw on 27%. Santos Laguna are 10th and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 11th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Santos Laguna won five and U.N.A.M. - Pumas one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Santos Laguna win or draw
- 69%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.4 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 27% | 31% | Stats preview | #441 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Santos Laguna: last 6
WWWWWL · 13 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Club Queretaro | 5–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Atletico San Luis | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs CF Pachuca | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | at Toluca | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs FC Juarez | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Cruz Azul | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWWDL
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: last 6
WDLDLW · 11 scored, 12 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Atlante FC | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Cruz Azul | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Atletico San Luis | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Atlas | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | at Guadalajara Chivas | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Leon | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WDLLD
Season stats
| Santos Laguna | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Goals scored per game | 1.58 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 58% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 42% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 8% |
| 42% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | -2 | 21 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | +1 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | +3 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 12 | +1 | 17 | DDDLD |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | -4 | 16 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 14 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 14 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Santos Laguna won 2, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3, 1 draw; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4–0 | Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| 13 Jul 2025 | Santos Laguna | 3–0 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 17 Apr 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 2–0 | Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Santos Laguna | 1–1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 19 Feb 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3–0 | Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| 3 Sep 2023 | Santos Laguna | 2–1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Match context
- Rest days
- Santos Laguna 4U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Santos Laguna 2 · U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2
- Referee
- Guillermo Pacheco
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
