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‹ Copa del Rey · Round of 128
Tudelano
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Zaragoza

Tudelano vs Zaragoza prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Zaragoza to win: 60%, about 3 in 5

Tudelano16%Bookies 16
Draw24%Bookies 24
Zaragoza60%Bookies 60

Goals call2 goals or fewer 58% · bookies 58%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

The three readings suggest a high probability of a Zaragoza win, though the draw remains a strong possibility. The expected goals indicate a scoring game, with the market suggesting a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals.

Version 1 · updated Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Zaragoza are underrated; The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Zaragoza's attacking metrics suggest they are the more potent side in this encounter.

Tudelano's recent results include draws with scores of 1-1 and 2-2. Zaragoza has an expected goals rating of 1.7 compared to Tudelano's 0.7.

ZaragozaZaragoza: clearly underrated Med

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

The fixture load appears balanced, offering little advantage to either side.

Both teams have played 2 games in the last 14 days. Tudelano has 3 days of rest while Zaragoza has 4 days of rest.

✓ In line with bookmakers

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The market heavily favours Zaragoza, but Tudelano's ability to draw suggests a tighter contest than the odds imply.

Zaragoza is listed at 60% probability, yet Tudelano has secured two recent draws in all competitions. Zaragoza's away form includes a 0-0 draw.

Draw underrated Low

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Zaragoza are clear favourites at 60%, with Tudelano on 16% and the draw on 24%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Tudelano won none and Zaragoza one. The prices point to about 2.4 goals.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Tudelano win or draw
40%
Either team wins (no draw)
76%
Zaragoza win or draw
84%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
42%
4+ goals
22%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
41%
No
59%

We expect about 0.7 goals from Tudelano and 1.7 from Zaragoza. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–1 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 0–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 16%24%60%Stats preview#1624

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Tudelano: last 2

DD · 3 scored, 3 conceded

24 Octvs Barbastro Segunda División RFEF - Group 21–1D
18 Octat Arnedo Segunda División RFEF - Group 22–2D

Last 1 at home: D

Zaragoza: last 2

WD · 1 scored, 0 conceded

23 Octat Europa Fc Primera División RFEF - Group 21–0W
18 Octat Real Murcia Primera División RFEF - Group 20–0D

Last 2 away: WD

Match context

Rest days
Tudelano 3Zaragoza 4
Matches in the last 14 days: Tudelano 2 · Zaragoza 2
Goals in this league
Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

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