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‹ Copa del Rey · Round of 128
Don Benito
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Extremadura 1924

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Extremadura 1924 to win: 51%, about 1 in 2

Don Benito23%Bookies 23
Draw26%Bookies 26
Extremadura 192451%Bookies 51

Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

All three lean narrowly towards Extremadura 1924, broadly in line with the published 30-24-46 split, though none with conviction. The coach and dressing room see goals on both sides' recent scoring, while the sceptic pushes the over 2.5 line down below the published 59%, citing a head-to-head that finished 0-2.

Version 2 · updated Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

Both analysts think Don Benito's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Don Benito favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Both sides arrive scoring freely, so an open cup tie looks likely.

Don Benito scored five at home across their last two there but conceded three; Extremadura hit five without reply in their only recent away game. Both-teams-score sits at 61% and the 4+ goals bracket at 37%, so chances at both ends feel realistic.

Don BenitoDon Benito: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The away lean looks fair given form, but the goals line may run hot.

But 59% on over 2.5 leans on small samples; the last meeting produced just two goals, so the under case is stronger than the prices admit.

Don BenitoDon Benito: clearly underrated Med

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Extremadura 1924 are favourites at 51%, with Don Benito on 23% and the draw on 26%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Don Benito won one and Extremadura 1924 one. The prices point to about 2.9 goals.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Don Benito win or draw
49%
Either team wins (no draw)
74%
Extremadura 1924 win or draw
76%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
54%
4+ goals
32%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
56%
No
44%

We expect about 1.1 goals from Don Benito and 1.7 from Extremadura 1924. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (6%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 30%24%46%Stats preview#1608
2 24%26%51%Prices moved#1645

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Don Benito: last 2

DW · 5 scored, 3 conceded

24 Octvs Linares Deportivo Segunda División RFEF - Group 41–1D
18 Octvs Atlético Central Segunda División RFEF - Group 44–2W

Last 2 at home: DW

Extremadura 1924: last 2

WD · 7 scored, 2 conceded

24 Octat Deportivo La Coruña II Primera División RFEF - Group 15–0W
17 Octvs Real Unión Primera División RFEF - Group 12–2D

Last 1 away: W

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Don Benito won 0, Extremadura 1924 1, 0 draws; 2.0 goals per game.

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 Aug 2025Don Benito0–2Extremadura 1924Friendlies Clubs

Match context

Rest days
Don Benito 3Extremadura 1924 3
Matches in the last 14 days: Don Benito 2 · Extremadura 1924 2
Goals in this league
Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

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