Cuarte vs Girona prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Girona to win: 85%, about 4 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a strong Girona victory. While Cuarte has shown defensive resilience at home, Girona's high expected goals and superior recent form make them the clear favourites. The high probability of over 2.5 goals is supported by the attacking metrics.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCuarte's recent home win saw them score 2 and concede 0.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureGirona enters this Copa del Rey fixture in superior form, having secured multiple wins in their recent run.
Girona has won 4 of their last 6 matches. Both teams have 3 days rest and 2 games in 14 days. Cuarte's recent form is a win followed by a draw.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Girona are clear favourites at 85%, with Cuarte on 4% and the draw on 11%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Cuarte won one and Girona two. The prices point to about 3.2 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Cuarte win or draw
- 15%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 89%
- Girona win or draw
- 96%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 33%
- No
- 67%
We expect about 0.4 goals from Cuarte and 2.7 from Girona. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–2 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–3 (14%), 0–1 (12%), 0–4 (10%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 11% | 85% | Stats preview | #1588 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Cuarte: last 2
WD · 4 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Fraga Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Robres Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | 2–2 | D |
Last 1 at home: W
Girona: last 6
WWDDWW · 12 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Celta de Vigo II Segunda División | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Andorra Segunda División | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Tenerife Segunda División | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Mallorca Segunda División | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | vs Albacete Segunda División | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Cadiz Segunda División | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 away: DWWL
Match context
- Travel for Girona
- 314 km
- Rest days
- Cuarte 3Girona 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Cuarte 2 · Girona 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 21°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
