Colour theme
‹ Copa del Rey · Round of 128
Atlético Paso
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Córdoba

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Córdoba to win: 67%, about 2 in 3

Atlético Paso13%Bookies 13
Draw20%Bookies 20
Córdoba67%Bookies 67

Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

The three readings converge on a clear Córdoba advantage, driven by their strong away scoring metrics and high expected goals. While Atlético Paso has shown defensive strength at home, the overall data suggests a high-scoring match heavily favouring the visitors.

Version 2 · updated Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

All three think Córdoba's chances are better than the bookmakers say.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Atlético Paso's expected goals are 0.8, and they recently secured a 3-0 win at home.

CórdobaCórdoba: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Both sides have an equal fixture load with 3 days rest, but Córdoba's away form is high-risk.

Both teams have had 3 days rest since their last game, with 2 fixtures in the last 14 days.

CórdobaCórdoba: clearly underrated Med

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The market correctly identifies Córdoba as the strong favourite, supported by their high away scoring rate.

Córdoba's away record includes 7 goals scored in 5 matches, aligning with the high probability of over 2.5 goals at 60%.

CórdobaCórdoba: clearly underrated More goalsMed

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Córdoba are clear favourites at 67%, with Atlético Paso on 13% and the draw on 20%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Atlético Paso won one and Córdoba two. The prices point to about 2.9 goals.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Atlético Paso win or draw
33%
Either team wins (no draw)
80%
Córdoba win or draw
87%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
55%
4+ goals
33%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
48%
No
52%

We expect about 0.8 goals from Atlético Paso and 2.1 from Córdoba. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–2 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–3 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 11%16%73%Stats preview#1625
2 13%20%67%Prices moved#1648

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Atlético Paso: last 2

WD · 5 scored, 2 conceded

24 Octvs Real Ávila Segunda División RFEF - Group 53–0W
18 Octat Conquense Segunda División RFEF - Group 52–2D

Last 1 at home: W

Córdoba: last 6

WWLWLW · 10 scored, 8 conceded

24 Octvs Eibar Segunda División2–0W
16 Octat Leganes Segunda División1–0W
10 Octat Eldense Segunda División1–2L
5 Octvs Tenerife Segunda División3–2W
27 Sepat Valladolid Segunda División1–3L
18 Sepat Albacete Segunda División2–1W

Last 5 away: WLLWL

Match context

Rest days
Atlético Paso 3Córdoba 3
Matches in the last 14 days: Atlético Paso 2 · Córdoba 2
Goals in this league
Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

Related

More Copa del Rey matches

  1. CuarteGirona41185
  2. CalamochaEuropa Fc202555
  3. Sestao RiverEspanyol121969
  4. CastellonenseAlmería131968
  5. Ciudad de LucenaRayo Majadahonda282646
  6. Gimnástica SegovianaCultural Leonesa302743
  7. LlaneraPonferradina202258
  8. RSD AlcaláLas Palmas152263
  9. Don BenitoExtremadura 1924232651
  10. ManresaSant Andreu252649
  11. ArosaPontevedra212455
  12. ManacorVillarreal1396
  13. Recreativo HuelvaRayo Vallecano142066
  14. TudelanoZaragoza162460