RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Las Palmas to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysis points strongly towards a Las Palmas victory, supported by their superior expected goals. However, the high scoring environment and the strong probability of 2+ goals suggest the match will likely feature multiple goals.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Las Palmas's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLas Palmas' attacking metrics suggest they have the superior quality to secure a win.
They have scored 8 goals in their last 5 away fixtures, while conceding 11.
Las Palmas: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureDespite the disparity in quality, the fixture load and home advantage keep this match balanced.
Las Palmas' away form is inconsistent, showing 3 losses in their last 5 outings.
Las Palmas: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favours Las Palmas, but the high goal expectancy suggests a higher scoring affair than anticipated.
The scoring environment for this competition averages 3.3 goals per match.
Las Palmas: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Las Palmas are clear favourites at 63%, with RSD Alcalá on 15% and the draw on 22%. In their last two matches across all competitions, RSD Alcalá won none and Las Palmas one. The prices point to about 2.8 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- RSD Alcalá win or draw
- 37%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Las Palmas win or draw
- 85%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from RSD Alcalá and 2.0 from Las Palmas. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
RSD Alcalá: last 2
LD · 1 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs SS Reyes Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Real Madrid III Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 0–0 | D |
Last 2 at home: LD
Las Palmas: last 6
WLLDLL · 7 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Real Sociedad II Segunda División | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Castellón Segunda División | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Mallorca Segunda División | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Valladolid Segunda División | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Eibar Segunda División | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Burgos Segunda División | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LLWLW
Match context
- Rest days
- RSD Alcalá 3Las Palmas 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: RSD Alcalá 2 · Las Palmas 2
- Goals in this league
- Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
