Manresa vs Sant Andreu prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sant Andreu to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings suggest a tight contest where Manresa's home form and the historical tendency towards draws are key factors. While Sant Andreu is favoured by the market, their recent away form and the high number of draws in the head-to-head history temper expectations for a decisive away victory.
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts think Manresa's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersManresa's home performance is strong, having scored 3 and conceded 2 in their last match.
Manresa's expected goals rate is 1.2, while Sant Andreu has a higher expected goals rate of 1.6. Manresa's last home game saw them score 3 goals.
Manresa: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market overvalues Sant Andreu, given their recent away struggles and the history of draws.
The market prices Sant Andreu at 46%, but they have secured 3 draws in the last 6 head-to-head encounters. Manresa has won 1 of those six matches.
Manresa: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Sant Andreu are favourites at 49%, with Manresa on 25% and the draw on 26%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Manresa won one and Sant Andreu none. The prices point to about 2.8 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Manresa win or draw
- 51%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Sant Andreu win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Manresa and 1.7 from Sant Andreu. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Manresa: last 2
WD · 3 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Ebro Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Barbastro Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 | 0–0 | D |
Last 1 at home: W
Sant Andreu: last 2
LD · 3 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Rayo Majadahonda Primera División RFEF - Group 2 | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Juventud Torremolinos Primera División RFEF - Group 2 | 2–2 | D |
Last 1 away: L
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Manresa won 1, Sant Andreu 2, 3 draws; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Sant Andreu | 3–1 | Manresa | Friendlies Clubs |
| 21 Aug 2024 | Sant Andreu | 3–2 | Manresa | Friendlies Clubs |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Sant Andreu | 0–0 | Manresa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Manresa | 1–1 | Sant Andreu | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| 9 Jan 2022 | Manresa | 4–0 | Sant Andreu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| 5 Sep 2021 | Sant Andreu | 1–1 | Manresa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Manresa 3Sant Andreu 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Manresa 2 · Sant Andreu 2
- Goals in this league
- Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
