Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mirandes to win: 58%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysts agree that Mirandes is the likely winner, but the strong attacking form of Atlético Tordesillas at home prevents a decisive lean. The high probability of goals suggests a competitive Copa del Rey fixture.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Atlético Tordesillas's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Atlético Tordesillas favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMirandes' higher expected goals (1.8) suggests they possess the greater attacking threat.
Mirandes has an expected goals rating of 1.8, compared to Tordesillas' 0.9. Tordesillas secured a 3-0 win at home in their last fixture. Mirandes' last away game saw them score 0 and concede 2.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe recent form of both sides suggests a competitive clash with no clear physical advantage.
Both teams have had 3 days rest and 2 games in 14 days. Tordesillas recently achieved a 3-0 win. Mirandes' recent form includes a 2-0 win and a 0-2 loss.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to undervalue Atlético Tordesillas' home attacking capabilities.
The probability of 2+ goals is high at 75%. Mirandes' 58% win probability is strong, but Tordesillas' recent 3-0 win at home suggests a higher chance of a positive result.
Atlético Tordesillas: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Mirandes are favourites at 58%, with Atlético Tordesillas on 18% and the draw on 24%. In their last two matches across all competitions, Atlético Tordesillas won one and Mirandes one. The prices point to about 2.7 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Atlético Tordesillas win or draw
- 42%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Mirandes win or draw
- 82%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Atlético Tordesillas and 1.8 from Mirandes. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 24% | 58% | Stats preview | #2247 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Atlético Tordesillas: last 2
DW · 4 scored, 1 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Gimnástica Segoviana Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Guadalajara Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 3–0 | W |
Last 1 at home: W
Mirandes: last 2
WL · 2 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Racing Ferrol Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Barakaldo Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 0–2 | L |
Last 1 away: L
Match context
- Rest days
- Atlético Tordesillas 3Mirandes 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Atlético Tordesillas 2 · Mirandes 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
