Calamocha vs Europa Fc prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Europa to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings align closely with the published market probabilities. While Europa Fc is favoured, their recent form is concerning, suggesting Calamocha's defensive stability could be a key factor in this Copa del Rey fixture.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Calamocha's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Calamocha favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersEuropa Fc's higher expected goals suggest they have the attacking edge, despite poor recent results.
Europa Fc has an expected goals of 1.7 compared to Calamocha's 1.1. Europa Fc's away form includes a 0-3 loss.
Calamocha: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides have similar fixture loads, but Europa Fc faces pressure after a heavy away defeat.
Both teams have 2 games in 14 days with 3 days rest. Calamocha's last home game was a 1-1 draw. Europa Fc suffered a 0-3 loss in their last away fixture.
Calamocha: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market's faith in Europa Fc might be slightly inflated given their recent poor form.
Europa Fc has suffered two consecutive losses (0-1 and 0-3). Calamocha has secured two draws in a row (1-1 and 1-1). The published draw probability is 25%.
Calamocha: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Europa Fc are favourites at 55%, with Calamocha on 20% and the draw on 25%. Neither side has won any of their last two matches across all competitions. The prices point to about 2.7 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Calamocha win or draw
- 44%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Europa Fc win or draw
- 80%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Calamocha and 1.8 from Europa Fc. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Calamocha: last 2
DD · 2 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Arnedo Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Peña Sport Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 | 1–1 | D |
Last 1 at home: D
Europa Fc: last 2
LL · 0 scored, 4 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Zaragoza Primera División RFEF - Group 2 | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | at FC Cartagena Primera División RFEF - Group 2 | 0–3 | L |
Last 1 away: L
Match context
- Rest days
- Calamocha 3Europa Fc 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Calamocha 2 · Europa Fc 2
- Goals in this league
- Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
