Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Cultural Leonesa to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a tight contest, with Cultural Leonesa holding a marginal advantage based on expected goals. However, the high frequency of recent 1-1 draws across all form indicators suggests the draw probability remains significant.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Cultural Leonesa's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCultural Leonesa's higher expected goals suggest a slight edge in this encounter.
Leonesa has an expected goals rating of 1.7 compared to Segoviana's 1.3.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe balanced fixture load and recent draws suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.
Both teams have had 3 days rest and 2 games in 14 days. Both recent form sets include draws, with Segoviana and Leonesa both recording 1-1 results.
Cultural Leonesa: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to favour Cultural Leonesa too strongly, despite recent defensive draws.
Head-to-head history shows 3.5 goals per game in the last two meetings. However, both teams have recently recorded 1-1 draws in their form.
Cultural Leonesa: slightly overrated
More goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Cultural Leonesa are slight favourites at 43%, with Gimnástica Segoviana on 30% and the draw on 27%. Neither side has won any of their last two matches across all competitions. The prices point to about 2.8 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Gimnástica Segoviana win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Cultural Leonesa win or draw
- 70%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Gimnástica Segoviana and 1.6 from Cultural Leonesa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Gimnástica Segoviana: last 2
DD · 2 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Atlético Tordesillas Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at A Madrid III Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | 1–1 | D |
Last 1 at home: D
Cultural Leonesa: last 2
LD · 2 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Pontevedra Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at UD Logroñés Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | 1–1 | D |
Last 1 away: D
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Gimnástica Segoviana won 1, Cultural Leonesa 0, 1 draw; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 1–1 | Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Cultural Leonesa | 2–3 | Gimnástica Segoviana | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Gimnástica Segoviana 3Cultural Leonesa 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Gimnástica Segoviana 2 · Cultural Leonesa 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Copa del Rey average: 3.30 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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