JKT Tanzania vs Azam prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (JKT Tanzania 38%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published numbers: a genuine coin-flip leaning marginally home (38-26-36), with the coach and sceptic both tilting over 2.5 on home involvement and the dressing room's chase keeping the game open late. The sceptic is the sole dissenter, backing Azam's defence to drag the total under.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersEven goals expected, but JKT's home output tips the scales late
The model reads 1.3 versus 1.3 expected goals, so this is near a coin toss, but the home split matters: JKT score 1.80 per game at home against Azam's 1.75 away, yet JKT concede 1.33 per game to Azam's 0.88.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo in-form sides, one point apart, and Azam arrive fresher
One point and one place separate 4th from 3rd: 16 from 9 against 17 from 8, both on five wins. The difference is workload - Azam's continental trip to Masr means two games in 14 days versus JKT's two, so the hosts get a seventh-day breather against a busier visitor.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPublished numbers look fair, but Azam's away defence argues for unders
Our model says 36-26-38 and 49% over 2.5, and the form mostly backs it up: Azam have lost once in six, JKT have won five of six. But Azam's over 2.5 rate is just 38% this season, and both their recent away wins were 2-0. I trim the total slightly and shade back towards Azam.
JKT Tanzania: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
JKT Tanzania are slight favourites at 38%, with Azam on 36% and the draw on 26%. JKT Tanzania are 4th and Azam 3rd in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, JKT Tanzania won four and Azam three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- JKT Tanzania win or draw
- 64%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Azam win or draw
- 62%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.3 goals from JKT Tanzania and 1.3 from Azam. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38% | 26% | 36% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2014 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
JKT Tanzania: last 6
WWWLWW · 11 scored, 5 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Kagera Sugar | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Mbeya City | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Fountain Gate | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Coastal Union | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Pamba Jiji | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Namungo | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWD
Azam: last 6
WDWLWW · 8 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Masr CAF Confederation Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Masr CAF Confederation Cup | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | at Coastal Union | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Simba | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Namungo | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | at Kagera Sugar | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWDD
Season stats
| JKT Tanzania | Azam | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Goals scored per game | 1.62 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 0.88 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 9 and 8 games.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | +15 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | +13 | 19 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | +6 | 17 | WLWWD |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | +3 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- JKT Tanzania 7Azam 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: JKT Tanzania 2 · Azam 1
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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