Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Pamba Jiji to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
On goals, 60% for over 2.5 is broadly accepted, eased slightly on Singida's 0.75 away scoring rate. Draw and away carry more upside than the table suggests.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth attacks should get chances, but Singida's away scoring dip tempers the goals case.
Pamba concede 1.67 a game with clean sheets in just 11% of matches, while Singida score 1.75 a game and both teams have scored in 75% of theirs.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePamba's one-win season makes home comfort fragile against a visitor on short rest.
Pamba sit 14th with 6 points from 9 games, one win all season, while Singida are 9th on 11 points from 8. Pamba have 5 days' rest to Singida's 3 after two games each in 14 days. Pamba's home run reads W L L D; Singida's away run W L D L D.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 44% home win looks too high for a one-win side; over 2.5 may be a touch rich too.
The model makes Pamba 44% to win despite one win and five defeats in nine, 10 scored, 15 conceded. Expected goals of 1.7 v 1.4 look generous to the hosts, and 60% for over 2.5 sits above the league's 2.49 goals per match.
Singida Black Stars: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Pamba Jiji are slight favourites at 44%, with Singida Black Stars on 33% and the draw on 23%. Pamba Jiji are 14th and Singida Black Stars 9th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Pamba Jiji won one and Singida Black Stars two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Pamba Jiji win or draw
- 67%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Singida Black Stars win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 62%
- No
- 38%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Pamba Jiji and 1.4 from Singida Black Stars. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 2–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 24% | 33% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1724 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Pamba Jiji: last 6
DDWLLL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Polisi Tanzania | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | at Fountain Gate | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Geita Gold | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Tabora United | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | at JKT Tanzania | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | at Young Africans | 0–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLLD
Singida Black Stars: last 6
DWLDLW · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Tusker CAF Confederation Cup | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Tusker CAF Confederation Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Coastal Union | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Dodoma Jiji | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | at Mashujaa | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Namungo | 3–2 | W |
Last 5 away: WLDLD
Season stats
| Pamba Jiji | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game at home | 2.75 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 9 and 8 games.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | -4 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Tabora United | 8 | -1 | 7 | DLWDL |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | -5 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | -8 | 6 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLDLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Pamba Jiji 5Singida Black Stars 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Pamba Jiji 2 · Singida Black Stars 2
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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