Young Africans vs Mashujaa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Young Africans to win: 90%, about 9 in 10
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land in the same place: Yanga are clear favourites, with the coach and dressing room fully backing the model and the sceptic only shading the draw for rest days.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersYanga's home scoring machine should be too much again
Mashujaa average 0.60 away and keep clean sheets in just 12% of matches.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond place meets a mid-table side with contrasting momentum
Mashujaa are 8th on 12 points but lost their last away game 1-6 and are 1-4 in their last five on the road. Fresh from 3 games in 14 days, Yanga's 3-day turnaround is the only knock.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongNumbers look about right, maybe a nudge off the home peak
74% for Yanga fits six straight H2H wins and a 6-0 this year. Over 2.5 at 59% sits between Yanga's 50% and Mashujaa's 62% hit rates, so it looks fair; I'd shade the draw up slightly.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Young Africans are clear favourites at 90%, with Mashujaa on 3% and the draw on 7%. Young Africans are 2nd and Mashujaa 8th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Young Africans won three and Mashujaa three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Young Africans win or draw
- 97%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 93%
- Mashujaa win or draw
- 9%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 25%
- No
- 75%
We expect about 3.0 goals from Young Africans and 0.3 from Mashujaa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 3–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (16%), 4–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 5–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 74% | 16% | 10% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1576 | |
| 2 | 91% | 7% | 3% | Prices moved | #2242 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Young Africans: last 6
DWWLWW · 12 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Tabora United | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs CFFA CAF Champions League | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at CFFA CAF Champions League | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Simba | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Geita Gold | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | at Fountain Gate | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Mashujaa: last 6
LWWLWL · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 13 Oct | at Simba | 1–6 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Polisi Tanzania | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Singida Black Stars | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Dodoma Jiji | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Kagera Sugar | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | at Mbeya City | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLW
Season stats
| Young Africans | Mashujaa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 0.50 | Goals conceded per game | 1.62 |
| 2.75 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 0.60 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 62% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | +15 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | +13 | 19 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | +6 | 17 | WLWWD |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | +3 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | -4 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Young Africans won 6, Mashujaa 0, 0 draws; 3.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | Mashujaa | 0–2 | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Young Africans | 6–0 | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Mashujaa | 0–5 | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 19 Dec 2024 | Young Africans | 3–2 | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 5 May 2024 | Mashujaa | 0–1 | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 8 Feb 2024 | Young Africans | 2–1 | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Match context
- Travel for Mashujaa
- 1,088 km
- Rest days
- Young Africans 3Mashujaa 13
- Matches in the last 14 days: Young Africans 3 · Mashujaa 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 15 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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