Namungo vs Coastal Union prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Namungo to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 61% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
The analysts agree that Namungo holds a slight edge due to their home advantage and rest.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersNamungo's strong home form contrasts with Coastal Union's poor away record.
Namungo has won 3 of their last 4 home games (W W W L). Coastal Union's away form is weak, conceding 6 goals in their last 3 away fixtures (W L L). Namungo averages 1.00 goals scored at home.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe fixture is a tight battle between league position and recent form.
Coastal Union sits 10th with 10 points from 8 games, while Namungo is 11th with 9 points. Namungo has a rest advantage, having played 16 days since their last match.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Namungo are favourites at 46%, with Coastal Union on 26% and the draw on 28%. Namungo are 11th and Coastal Union 10th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Namungo won one and Coastal Union three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Namungo win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Coastal Union win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 39%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 44%
- No
- 56%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Namungo and 0.9 from Coastal Union. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 28% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #744 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Namungo: last 6
WLLLLW · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 8 Oct | vs Tabora United | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Dodoma Jiji | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | at Azam | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | at Singida Black Stars | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | at JKT Tanzania | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Fountain Gate | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWL
Coastal Union: last 6
WLWWLD · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 12 Oct | vs Singida Black Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Azam | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs JKT Tanzania | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Polisi Tanzania | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | at Simba | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Tabora United | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 away: WLL
Season stats
| Namungo | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Goals scored per game | 0.88 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.80 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | +3 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | -4 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Tabora United | 8 | -1 | 7 | DLWDL |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | -5 | 6 | DDWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Namungo won 3, Coastal Union 0, 3 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | Coastal Union | 1–1 | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Namungo | 1–0 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Namungo | 0–0 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 17 Sep 2024 | Coastal Union | 0–2 | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Namungo | 1–0 | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 1 Nov 2023 | Coastal Union | 0–0 | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
Match context
- Rest days
- Namungo 16Coastal Union 12
- Matches in the last 14 days: Namungo 0 · Coastal Union 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
