Simba vs Namungo prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Simba to win: 75%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 56%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Simba are clear favourites at 75%, with Namungo on 9% and the draw on 16%. Simba are 1st and Namungo 7th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Simba won five and Namungo two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Simba win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- Namungo win or draw
- 25%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 34%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 2.3 goals from Simba and 0.6 from Namungo. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75% | 17% | 9% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2018 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Simba: last 6
WWWWWW · 21 scored, 3 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs 15 de Agosto CAF Champions League | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | at 15 de Agosto CAF Champions League | 6–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Mashujaa | 6–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Young Africans | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Azam | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Geita Gold | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Namungo: last 6
WWLLLL · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Coastal Union | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | vs Tabora United | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Dodoma Jiji | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | at Azam | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | at Singida Black Stars | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | at JKT Tanzania | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| Simba | Namungo | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 0.50 | Goals conceded per game | 1.33 |
| 2.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 8 and 9 games.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | +15 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | +13 | 19 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | +6 | 17 | WLWWD |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | +3 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | -4 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Simba 8Namungo 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Simba 2 · Namungo 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
