Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mashujaa to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Mashujaa are favourites at 50%, with Pamba Jiji on 26% and the draw on 24%. Mashujaa are 8th and Pamba Jiji 14th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Mashujaa won three and Pamba Jiji one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Mashujaa win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Pamba Jiji win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Mashujaa and 1.2 from Pamba Jiji. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 24% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2017 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Mashujaa: last 6
LWWLWL · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 13 Oct | at Simba | 1–6 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Polisi Tanzania | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Singida Black Stars | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Dodoma Jiji | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Kagera Sugar | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | at Mbeya City | 1–2 | L |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Pamba Jiji: last 6
DDWLLL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Polisi Tanzania | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | at Fountain Gate | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Geita Gold | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Tabora United | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | at JKT Tanzania | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | at Young Africans | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: DDLLL
Season stats
| Mashujaa | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.11 |
| 1.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 0.60 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 11% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 8 and 9 games.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | +3 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | +1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | -3 | 12 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | -4 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Tabora United | 8 | -1 | 7 | DLWDL |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | -5 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | -8 | 6 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLDLL |
Match context
- Travel for Pamba Jiji
- 448 km
- Rest days
- Mashujaa 19Pamba Jiji 10
- Matches in the last 14 days: Mashujaa 0 · Pamba Jiji 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 25°C · wind 4 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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