Tabora United vs Fountain Gate prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Tabora to win: 59%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 67%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Tabora United are favourites at 59%, with Fountain Gate on 14% and the draw on 27%. Tabora United are 12th and Fountain Gate 16th in the Tanzanian Premier League. In their last five league games, Tabora United won one and Fountain Gate none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Tabora United win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Fountain Gate win or draw
- 41%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 60%
- 3+ goals
- 33%
- 4+ goals
- 15%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 34%
- No
- 66%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Tabora United and 0.6 from Fountain Gate. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59% | 26% | 14% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2015 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Tabora United: last 6
DLWDLD · 4 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Young Africans | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Oct | at Namungo | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Pamba Jiji | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Mbeya City | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Dodoma Jiji | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | at Coastal Union | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 at home: DDL
Fountain Gate: last 6
DLDLLL · 3 scored, 9 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Pamba Jiji | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs JKT Tanzania | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Kagera Sugar | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Young Africans | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Mbeya City | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | at Namungo | 0–1 | L |
Last 3 away: DLL
Season stats
| Tabora United | Fountain Gate | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Goals scored per game | 0.50 |
| 0.88 | Goals conceded per game | 1.50 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.60 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 0.33 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Tanzanian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | -5 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Tabora United | 8 | -1 | 7 | DLWDL |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | -5 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | -8 | 6 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLDLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Tabora United 8Fountain Gate 16
- Matches in the last 14 days: Tabora United 1 · Fountain Gate 0
- Goals in this league
- Tanzanian Premier League average: 2.49 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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