Tenerife vs FC Andorra prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Tenerife to win: 54%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 58%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
A home win with goals at both ends is the consensus picture.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides leak goals, so a shared scoring night feels the likeliest shape.
Tenerife concede 1.36 per game with clean sheets in just 18% of matches; Andorra concede 1.82. Tenerife's home scoring of 1.00 per game tempers the total slightly.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTenerife's draw-heavy run meets a visiting side losing more often than not.
Tenerife sit 12th on 14 points from five draws in 11 games; Andorra are 19th on 10 points with seven defeats. Both had about a week to prepare.
Andorra: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home lean looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch generous.
Tenerife's last five home games produced just five goals scored and three conceded, and their matches clear 2.5 goals only 27% of the time. Andorra away have lost three of five yet scored five in that run. The 58% over line sits above what the hosts' profile alone would suggest.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Tenerife are favourites at 54%, with FC Andorra on 23% and the draw on 23%. Tenerife are 12th and FC Andorra 19th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Tenerife won none and FC Andorra two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Tenerife win or draw
- 77%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- FC Andorra win or draw
- 46%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Tenerife and 1.1 from FC Andorra. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54% | 23% | 23% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1809 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Tenerife: last 6
DDDLDL · 6 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Sabadell | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | at Celta de Vigo II | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | at Cordoba | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Castellón | 0–5 | L |
Last 5 at home: DDWLW
FC Andorra: last 6
LLWDWL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Girona | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Castellón | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Sabadell | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Granada CF | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Sporting Gijon | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LDWLL
Season stats
| Tenerife | FC Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Goals scored per game | 1.36 |
| 1.36 | Goals conceded per game | 1.82 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 27% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 55% |
| 18% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 36% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Eldense | 11 | -2 | 14 | LWWWL |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | +0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | +0 | 10 | WLLWD |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 11 | -15 | 5 | LLLDW |
| 22 | Albacete | 11 | -14 | 4 | WLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Tenerife 7FC Andorra 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Tenerife 2 · FC Andorra 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 22°C · wind 1 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Segunda División average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
