Albacete vs CD Sabadell prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Albacete 36%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge: Albacete's home boost is thin and Sabadell's solidity is real, so the near-even 36/30/34 published split is fair. A tight, low-margin game is the consensus.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks a draw is underrated; The Sceptic thinks CD Sabadell are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAlbacete concede far too much at home to trust against a disciplined visiting defence.
Sabadell's away scoring is modest at 0.50 per game, matching Albacete's home 1.00, so a tight, low-event contest is the likelier shape.
Albacete: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureAlbacete's crisis meeting a settled mid-table side makes the home price look generous.
Four points from eleven games and one win in six tells the story: this is a squad under real strain. Sabadell sit 10th with 17 points and are unbeaten in three, so even at home Albacete's edge is thin. Equal rest days for both teams, so fatigue is not the away side's problem.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look fair, but the total may be shaded low given Albacete's leaky defence.
Head-to-head is unknowable here, so I only nudge the totals and keep 1X2 close to published.
CD Sabadell: slightly underrated
More goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Albacete are slight favourites at 36%, with CD Sabadell on 34% and the draw on 30%. Albacete are 22nd and CD Sabadell 10th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Albacete won one and CD Sabadell one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Albacete win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- CD Sabadell win or draw
- 64%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 43%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Albacete and 1.2 from CD Sabadell. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 29% | 44% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1914 | |
| 2 | 36% | 30% | 34% | Prices moved | #2136 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Albacete: last 6
WLLLLL · 5 scored, 14 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Eldense | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Sporting Gijon | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | at Valladolid | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Eibar | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | at Girona | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLLL
CD Sabadell: last 6
DLWDDW · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Burgos | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at AD Ceuta FC | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs FC Andorra | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Celta de Vigo II | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Oviedo | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LWDLD
Season stats
| Albacete | CD Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.82 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 55% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| 55% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 9% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 36% | Failed to score | 45% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 11 | -2 | 19 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 10 | CD Sabadell | 11 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Eldense | 11 | -2 | 14 | LWWWL |
| … | |||||
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 11 | -15 | 5 | LLLDW |
| 22 | Albacete | 11 | -14 | 4 | WLLLL |
Match context
- Travel for CD Sabadell
- 439 km
- Rest days
- Albacete 6CD Sabadell 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Albacete 1 · CD Sabadell 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 1 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Segunda División average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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