RC Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Córdoba to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 67% · bookies 67%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysis points towards a high-scoring affair, with all three analysts favouring the over 2.5 goals line. Córdoba holds the slight advantage based on their league position and recent form, while Celta's home attacking output remains a significant factor.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCelta's high home scoring rate meets Córdoba's strong away attack.
Celta scores 1.83 goals per game at home, while Córdoba averages 1.50 goals away. Celta concedes 1.91 goals per game.
Córdoba: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureCórdoba's higher league standing provides a slight edge in this fixture.
Córdoba is 11th with 15 points, compared to Celta's 16th position with 12 points. Both sides have 7 days rest.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Córdoba are favourites at 47%, with RC Celta Fortuna on 29% and the draw on 24%. RC Celta Fortuna are 16th and Córdoba 11th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, RC Celta Fortuna won one and Córdoba three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- RC Celta Fortuna win or draw
- 53%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Córdoba win or draw
- 71%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 67%
- 4+ goals
- 45%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 66%
- No
- 34%
We expect about 1.5 goals from RC Celta Fortuna and 1.9 from Córdoba. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%), 0–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 21% | 31% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1889 | |
| 2 | 29% | 24% | 47% | Prices moved | #2129 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
RC Celta Fortuna: last 6
LDWLDL · 9 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Girona | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Real Sociedad II | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Sporting Gijon | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Sabadell | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWDLL
Córdoba: last 6
WWLWLW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Eibar | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Leganes | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Eldense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Tenerife | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Valladolid | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Albacete | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WLLWL
Season stats
| RC Celta Fortuna | Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Goals scored per game | 1.55 |
| 1.91 | Goals conceded per game | 1.82 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 55% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 73% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 73% |
| 18% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 9% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 11 | -2 | 19 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Córdoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Eldense | 11 | -2 | 14 | LWWWL |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | +0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 | RC Celta Fortuna | 11 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | +0 | 10 | WLLWD |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
Match context
- Travel for Córdoba
- 588 km
- Rest days
- RC Celta Fortuna 7Córdoba 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: RC Celta Fortuna 2 · Córdoba 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Segunda División average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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