Rangers vs Aberdeen prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Rangers to win: 54%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 54%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings converge on a Rangers win, with the Coach and Dressing Room close to the published 54% and the Sceptic trimming it slightly on Aberdeen's away scoring. On totals, two see under 2.5 as more likely and one leans over, matching the published 46% over as a genuinely balanced call.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersRangers' home defence should decide a low-noise afternoon
Aberdeen fail to score in half their matches and have kept only 20% clean sheets.
Rangers: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond hosts ninth and the table says only one winner
Rangers sit 2nd on 23 points from 10 games, seven wins and just one defeat, while Aberdeen are 9th on 11 points with five losses. Rangers have won five straight at home; Aberdeen's away run reads L D W L L. Both had 7 days' rest, so freshness is even.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongAberdeen's away scoring keeps the totals case alive
The 46% over 2.5 line looks fair but slightly shy: Aberdeen have scored 7 in their last five away games and average 1.40 away, while Rangers concede just 0.70 per game. Both teams score in 48% of cases and the league runs at 2.82 goals per match, so I lean marginally over.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Rangers are favourites at 54%, with Aberdeen on 21% and the draw on 25%. Rangers are 2nd and Aberdeen 9th in the Scottish Premiership. In their last five league games, Rangers won four and Aberdeen two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Rangers win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Aberdeen win or draw
- 46%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 46%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Rangers and 0.9 from Aberdeen. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54% | 25% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1978 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Rangers: last 6
WDWWWW · 12 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs ST Johnstone | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Dundee | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Kilmarnock | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Celtic | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs ST Mirren | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Motherwell | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Aberdeen: last 6
LWLDWD · 10 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Dundee Utd | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs ST Mirren | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs ST Johnstone | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Hibernian | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Motherwell | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Kilmarnock | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: LDWLL
Season stats
| Rangers | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | Goals scored per game | 1.20 |
| 0.70 | Goals conceded per game | 1.30 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | +19 | 27 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | +7 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | +0 | 15 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | +2 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | -7 | 13 | WLLLL |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | +0 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | -4 | 12 | LDWDL |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | -7 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | -13 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 12 | Hibernian | 10 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Aberdeen
- 194 km
- Rest days
- Rangers 7Aberdeen 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Rangers 2 · Aberdeen 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 3 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Scottish Premiership average: 2.82 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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