Celtic 1stWWWLW

19:45

Wed 28 OctUK time (GMT)

Preview

Dundee United 4thWDWWD

Celtic vs Dundee United prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Celtic to win: 77%, about 3 in 4

Celtic77%Bookies 77

Draw15%Bookies 15

Dundee8%Bookies 8

Goals call3+ goals 71% · bookies 71%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

The coach sees Celtic's home scoring carrying the total, the dressing room notes the gap between first and fourth, and the sceptic accepts the prices while flagging United's two wins in the last six meetings.

Version 1 · updated 07:56 Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

1 of 3 think Dundee United's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Dundee United favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Celtic's home scoring rate should drive the game past 2.5 goals

Celtic score 2.60 per game at home and their matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time. Dundee United concede 1.40 per game and fail to score in 30% of theirs. Both teams scored in 55% of the published sample, so an open game looks likely.

✓ In line with bookmakers

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Top against fourth, with Celtic fresher in a heavy run of fixtures

Celtic have played four games in 14 days to United's two, but have an extra day's rest. United's 14-14 goal record suggests they travel to survive, not dominate.

✓ In line with bookmakers Fewer goals

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The prices look fair, but the head-to-head hints at a twist

Their away form of D W L W L shows they can score away. The over at 71% looks about right given 3.5 goals per game in the head-to-head.

Dundee: slightly underrated Low

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Celtic are clear favourites at 77%, with Dundee United on 8% and the draw on 15%. Celtic are 1st and Dundee United 4th in the Scottish Premiership. In their last five league games, Celtic won four and Dundee United three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Celtic win or draw: 92%
Either team wins (no draw): 85%
Dundee United win or draw: 23%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 88%
3+ goals: 71%
4+ goals: 50%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 55%
No: 45%

We expect about 2.8 goals from Celtic and 0.9 from Dundee United. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	27 Oct 07:56	77%	15%	8%	Stats preview	#1698

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Celtic: last 6

WLWLWL · 13 scored, 9 conceded

25 Oct	at Hibernian	2–1	W
22 Oct	vs Celta Vigo UEFA Europa League	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs Heart Of Midlothian	7–1	W
15 Oct	at Benfica UEFA Europa League	1–4	L
11 Oct	at Motherwell	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Rangers	0–1	L

Last 5 at home: LWLLW

Dundee United: last 6

WDWWDL · 9 scored, 7 conceded

24 Oct	vs Aberdeen	3–2	W
17 Oct	at ST Johnstone	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs Hibernian	1–0	W
19 Sep	at ST Mirren	3–0	W
5 Sep	vs Falkirk	1–1	D
2 Sep	at Motherwell	0–3	L

Last 5 away: DWLWL

Season stats

Celtic		Dundee United
2.50	Goals scored per game	1.40
0.60	Goals conceded per game	1.40
2.60	Scored per game at home	1.20
2.40	Scored per game away	1.60
60%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
50%	Both teams scored	40%
40%	Clean sheets	30%
10%	Failed to score	30%

League matches only, 10 games each.

Scottish Premiership table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
1	Celtic	10	+19	27	WWWLW
2	Rangers	10	+10	23	WDWWW
3	Heart Of Midlothian	10	+7	19	WLWDL
4	Dundee United	10	+0	15	WDWWD
5	Dundee	10	+2	14	LDWWL
6	ST Mirren	10	-7	13	WLLLL
7	Falkirk	10	+0	12	WWLDW

Full Scottish Premiership table

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Celtic won 4, Dundee United 2, 0 draws; 3.5 goals per game.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
15 Aug 2026	Dundee United	0–4	Celtic	League Cup
22 Mar 2026	Dundee United	2–0	Celtic	Premiership
10 Jan 2026	Celtic	4–0	Dundee United	Premiership
17 Dec 2025	Dundee United	2–1	Celtic	Premiership
26 Apr 2025	Dundee United	0–5	Celtic	Premiership
15 Feb 2025	Celtic	3–0	Dundee United	Premiership

Match context

Travel for Dundee United: 104 km
Rest days: Celtic 3Dundee United 4; Matches in the last 14 days: Celtic 4 · Dundee United 2
Weather at kick-off: 12°C · wind 10 km/h; Dry
Goals in this league: Scottish Premiership average: 2.82 per match

Published 27 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time (GMT) · Updated 27 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling