Hibernian vs Dundee prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Dundee to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The long 30-day breaks are the main wildcard.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides leak goals; the numbers point to an open game with Dundee sharper in front of goal.
Hibernian concede 1.60 per game with no clean sheets all season, while Dundee score 1.60 per game away from home.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe table gap is stark: Dundee sit 5th with 14 points, Hibernian 12th with just 7.
Hibernian have lost seven of ten and their home form reads L L D L L with 4 scored and 9 conceded. Dundee have taken points in four of their last six. Both had 30-plus days without a match, so rust could level the field slightly.
Dundee: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published numbers look broadly right, though Dundee's away form is streaky rather than dominant.
Dundee's away record is L W L W L with 6 scored and 6 conceded, which tempers the 44% away probability. Hibernian's six-match losing run aside, one draw, supports the low 31% home figure. Over 2.5 at 49% fits Dundee's 60% and Hibernian's 70% over rates.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Dundee are slight favourites at 44%, with Hibernian on 30% and the draw on 26%. Hibernian are 12th and Dundee 5th in the Scottish Premiership. In their last five league games, Hibernian won none and Dundee two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hibernian win or draw
- 56%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Dundee win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Hibernian and 1.5 from Dundee. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 26% | 44% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2063 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hibernian: last 6
LLLDLL · 4 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Celtic | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Falkirk | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Dundee Utd | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Aberdeen | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Kilmarnock | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | at ST Johnstone | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLDLL
Dundee: last 6
LDWWLD · 9 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at ST Mirren | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Rangers | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Motherwell | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Heart Of Midlothian | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs ST Johnstone | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LWLWL
Season stats
| Hibernian | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.40 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per game | 1.20 |
| 0.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 70% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | +7 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | +0 | 15 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | +2 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | -7 | 13 | WLLLL |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | +0 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | -4 | 12 | LDWDL |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | -7 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | -13 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 12 | Hibernian | 10 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Dundee
- 59 km
- Rest days
- Hibernian 30Dundee 31
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hibernian 0 · Dundee 0
- Goals in this league
- Scottish Premiership average: 2.82 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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