West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
West Ham to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The combined lean: home win, goals on the higher side of the line, with late West Ham goals the likeliest source of them.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersWest Ham's relentless scoring points to goals and a home win.
They concede most after the break but also score heavily late, with 17 of their 32 goals from 61 minutes on. West Brom score just 1.33 per game away and keep only 17% clean sheets.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo promotion rivals, one point apart - the hosts' position adds edge.
Third hosts fifth with a single point between them - 22 to 21 - and both sit in the Automatic promotion and Play-off bands' neighbourhood. West Ham have lost two of their last six, including the most recent one, so pressure is real despite the strong start.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome number looks right, but the away side's late goals give pause.
The 63% home price looks fair given West Ham's 6-2-2 run and 32 goals scored, but West Brom's 16% seems a shade low: they beat Blackburn and Wrexham recently and score most of their goals late, when tired hosts concede.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
West Ham United are clear favourites at 63%, with West Bromwich Albion on 16% and the draw on 21%. West Ham United are 3rd and West Bromwich Albion 5th in the Championship. In their last five league games, West Ham United won two and West Bromwich Albion two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- West Ham United win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- West Bromwich Albion win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.1 goals from West Ham United and 1.0 from West Bromwich Albion. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59% | 21% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1834 | |
| 2 | 63% | 20% | 16% | Prices moved | #2105 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
West Ham United: last 6
LWWDDL · 14 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Southampton | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Swansea | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Lincoln | 6–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs QPR | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Millwall | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Fulham League Cup | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDLWW
West Bromwich Albion: last 6
DWWLLD · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Preston | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Blackburn | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Oct | at Wrexham | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Birmingham | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs QPR | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DWLWL
Season stats
| West Ham United | West Bromwich Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.33 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.08 |
| 2.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game away | 1.17 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 17% |
| 2.00 | Yellow cards per game | 1.92 |
League matches only, 12 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | West Ham United | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 | West Ham United | 12 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 12 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | +12 | 20 −4 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
Match context
- Stadium
- London Stadium, London
- 64,472 seats · grass
- Rest days
- West Ham United 7West Bromwich Albion 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: West Ham United 1 · West Bromwich Albion 1
- Coaches
- Nuno Espírito Santo
- West Ham United, since Aug 2026
- J. Morrison
- West Bromwich Albion, since Apr 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
