Sheffield United vs Wrexham prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Sheffield United 38%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The coach sees goals from two porous defences and leans just over the 2.5 line; the dressing room stresses mid-table stakes with six days' rest apiece. A tight, scoring contest looks the fairest summary.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals at both ends on Friday night.
Wrexham concede 7 of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while United are strong before half-time, scoring 5 times in the opening 30.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table stakes and matching rest days make this a finely balanced Friday fixture.
United sit 12th on 16 points, Wrexham 17th on 14, so neither is near the top zones or places 22-24. United's last 5 at home read D W L L W, while Wrexham have one win in their last 5 away. Six days' rest each evens the load.
Wrexham: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published prices look about right, though the away side is slightly underrated.
Wrexham have beaten Southampton and Preston recently and scored in 5 of their last 6; their away scoring rate of just 0.83 tempers that. With both scoring rates near 1.3 and BTTS at 54%, the 49% over line and 38/28/34 prices look fair.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Sheffield United are slight favourites at 38%, with Wrexham on 34% and the draw on 28%. Sheffield United are 12th and Wrexham 17th in the Championship. In their last five league games, Sheffield United won two and Wrexham two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sheffield United win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Wrexham win or draw
- 62%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Sheffield United and 1.3 from Wrexham. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38% | 28% | 34% | Stats preview | #1901 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sheffield United: last 6
DWLWLL · 8 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Derby | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Bristol City | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Portsmouth | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Lincoln | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Stoke City | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | at Fleetwood Town League Cup | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWLLW
Wrexham: last 6
LWLDWL · 8 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Blackburn | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Preston | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs West Brom | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Derby | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Southampton | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at West Ham | 0–6 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLDW
Season stats
| Sheffield United | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Goals scored per game | 1.25 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.50 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 0.83 |
| 58% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 58% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 25% |
| 1.92 | Yellow cards per game | 1.33 |
League matches only, 12 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
Match context
- Stadium
- Bramall Lane, Sheffield
- 32,702 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Sheffield United 6Wrexham 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sheffield United 2 · Wrexham 2
- Coaches
- Chris Wilder
- Sheffield United, since Aug 2026
- P. Parkinson
- Wrexham, since Jul 2021
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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